Ferguson Vs. Gaethje Headlines UFC 249, Ferguson Is Favored

  • Tony Ferguson is favored to defeat Justin Gaethje with -190 odds.
  • Justin Gaethje has a 21-2 overall record.
  • There are different UFC 249 prop bets listed for the main card.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla.Tony Ferguson and Justin Gaethje are set to face off in the main event of UFC 249, which will be taking place in Jacksonville at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena on May 9.

While there won’t be any fans in attendance, the attention and excitement on this fight are just the same for UFC fans and sports bettors alike.

There are plenty of UFC 249 betting odds for every fight on the card. But the main card featuring Ferguson vs. Gaethje comes with some sneaky good prop bets that are worth the early look.

Betting Ferguson vs. Gaethje Straight-Up

As both Tony Ferguson and Justin Gaethje prepare for their fight, it is Ferguson who is favored to win. Ferguson has -190 odds to win while Gaethje’s odds are sitting at +155. Ferguson holds an impressive 26-3 record and has gone 5-0 in his last five fights. Gaethje also has an impressive 21-2 record but his two losses have come in his last five fights as he has gone 3-2.

When looking at both of their past opponents, they have both faced off against Michael Johnson who holds a 20-15 record. Ferguson came up short by a unanimous decision while Gaethje was victorious by way of TKO.

Some might look at this as Gathje having the upper hand but bettors should take into consideration the strength in the fighters that they each have beaten.

Will They Go The Distance?

When looking at the odds of if the fight will go the distance, the odds for the fight not going the distance are favored at -625 while the odds of it going all rounds are at +350. In their last five fights, Ferguson has only gone the distance once while Gaethje has not gone the distance at all in his previous five fights.

Being that there has only been one appearance in the fifth round by both fighters combined, it would be safe for bettors to bet on it not going the distance.


The Over/Under of total rounds that the fight will go is set at 2.5 with the under being favored at -135 and the over being set at -105 odds. Gaethje has hit the Under three times in the last five fights and all have been in the first round. Ferguson, on the other hand, has played it close. In his last five, he has hit the Over twice also but when he has hit the Under they have all been in the second round.

Bettors should keep an eye on this bet as it is clear that both fighters try to end things sooner rather than later. Those watching the fight can expect some heavy hits in the early rounds if that is the case.

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