- The Kansas City Chiefs have the top-ranked passing offense in the NFL averaging 313.9 yards per game.
- Philip Rivers leads the NFL in passing yards heading into Week 11 with 2,816 yards.
- The Chiefs are 9-1 SU in their last ten matchups against the Chargers.
MEXICO CITY – Week 11 of the NFL has already started with a bang as the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns had a brawl on Thursday Night Football. The Browns did end up winning that game 21-7.
While the awe from the brawl will be hard to top, Week 11 does provide us with some great NFL matchups that could shift the playoff picture.
The game between the Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs will feature two AFC West rivals jockeying for playoff positioning. The Chiefs are 4-point favorites in the neutral site meeting in Mexico City. The game will likely go over the 52-point game total, and that should provide some good player prop bets in this game.
Patrick Mahomes Touchdown Passes in Week 11
Winner: Over (-135)
Patrick Mahomes returned under center for the Chiefs for the first time since dislocating his knee in Week 7. In the 32-35 loss to the Tennessee Titans, Mahomes threw for a season-high 446 yards and three touchdowns. That was quite the return for the reigning MVP, who now has a home meeting against the Los Angeles Chargers fifth-ranked pass defense. The Chargers have given up 14 touchdown passes to opposing teams, which puts them in the middle of the pack - so they can be scored on through the air. Take the over because, in two career games against the Chargers, Mahomes has never thrown less than two touchdown passes. The Chargers offense can make this a shootout and that too would also bode well for Mahomes’ chances of hitting the over.
Total Receptions For Tyreek Hill in Week 11
Winner: Over (-110)
Tyreek Hill is one of Mahomes' favorite weapons to get the ball to. In their last game against the Titans, Mahomes targeted Hill 19 times. With Hill being one of the fastest players in the NFL, there aren’t many defensive backs that can keep up with the separation that he creates. Hill should see another healthy share of targets in this game against the Chargers. In six career games against the Chargers, Hill has only two games where he’s recorded less than five receptions. The over should be a comfortable bet here; the Chargers offense can put enough points on the board to prevent the Chiefs from being able to abandon the passing game to kill the clock.
Travis Kelce Total Receiving Yards in Week 11
Winner: Under (-120)
Travis Kelce is one of the best tight ends in the NFL and it’s tough to keep him from finding holes in defenses. Still, the Chargers throughout the years have found ways to limit him. In ten career games against the Chargers, Kelce has only one game where he’s eclipsed over 78 receiving yards. Even with Mahomes under center, the Chargers have still been able to keep Kelce in check. This game should be no different and that’s why the under is the best bet.
Kick off for this game is set for Monday at 8:15 p.m. EST and will be broadcasted by ESPN.