MLB Betting Tip: Back Cristian Javier As A Home Favorite

  • The Houston Astros have -200 odds to beat the Cleveland Guardians.
  • The Astros have 1.5 points on the spread and +100 odds to cover.
  • The total points is set at 8.5 points.

HOUSTON – A matchup between the Houston Astros and Cleveland Guardians is scheduled for Wednesday night in Houston. One notable thing to keep an eye on in favor of the Astros winning is that Cristian Javier has been tremendous with the absence of Jake Odorizzi.

Houston Astros Vs. Cleveland Guardians

  • Win: Astros (-200) vs. Guardians (+165)
  • Runline: Astros -1.5 (+100)
  • Total Points: 8.5 Points

In 11 games as a home favorite, the Astros have gone 9-2 when Javier is pitching which backs online sportsbooks heavy odds on them. They are also letting up just 1.7 runs per game when home favorites and Javier is pitching as well.

On the Guardians side of things, Cal Quantrill will be starting on the mound for them which is great news for the Astros. In road underdog MLB odds situations for the Guardians, Quantrill has taken them to a 3-12 record overall. Since starting for them back in 2021, he is 3-7 in that time as well.

Adding to Quantrill’s struggles when an underdog on the road, the Guardians are allowing 5.3 runs per game when he starts.

Runline & Total Points

With just a 1.5-point runline, and plus odds on the Astros, bettors could not have asked for a better gift on Wednesday night. The fact that there is a 3.6 run differential on runs allowed between the two should be the first indication of taking the Astros to cover. In the Astros win last night over the Guardians, they had no issues with a 7-3 final score.

On the game total, with just 1.7 runs allowed per game for Javier and 5.3 allowed for Quantrill, there is some value in the under. Combined, it cuts it close to the set total as they are allowing 7 runs combined. In the two games played already in the series, they are 1-1 on the over/under.

Overall Betting Trends

Backing the Astros, even more, is that in May alone as a home favorite, they are 22-8. In 2022 as a road underdog, Cleveland has gone 5-11.

The public is also heavily lying on the Astros to pull this one off with 70% of moneyline bets and 76% of bets to cover the spread.