- The Buffalo Bills are favored to beat the Pittsburgh Steelers by two points.
- The Bills beating the Steelers by a margin of 1-13 points comes with +160 odds.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have +190 Little Win Odds (PIT 1-13) to beat the Buffalo Bills.
BUFFALO – Two of the top teams in the AFC face off on Sunday Night Football as the Pittsburgh Steelers travel north to take on the Buffalo Bills.
This is an important matchup for both the Steelers and Bills as both teams are jockeying for playoff seeding while trying to maintain leads in their divisions.
In the AFC, Bills and Steelers can clinch a playoff berth this weekend, and Steelers and Chiefs can clinch division titles pic.twitter.com/9DvVrdAxsl
— Ben Volin (@BenVolin) December 9, 2020
As it currently stands the Steelers are tied for first in the AFC with the Kansas City Chiefs with 11-1 records. The Bills are the three seed in the AFC and can come within a game of the Steelers with a win on Sunday.
AFC Playoff Standings
- No. 1 seed Pittsburgh Steelers 11-1
- No. 2 seed Kansas City Chiefs 11-1
- No. 3 seed Buffalo Bills 9-3
- No. 4 seed Tennessee Titans 8-4
- No. 5 seed Cleveland Browns 9-3
- No. 6 seed Miami Dolphins 8-4
- No. 7 seed Indianapolis Colts 8-4
Despite having two more losses than the Steelers and trailing them in the playoff race, the Bills are narrow favorites at home.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills @ 8:20 p.m. EST
- Spread: Bills (-2)
- Moneyline: Steelers (+105) vs. Bills (-125)
- O/U: 48
It is clear that online sportsbooks forecast this to be a close game on both the moneyline and the spread. One way to still ensure a return on this game is to bet on the Big Win Little Win prop for SNF.
Big Win Little Win Odds – SNF
- BUF 1-13 (+160)
- PIT 1-13 (+190)
- BUF 14+ (+365)
- PIT 14+ (+480)
The benefit of betting on the NFL in the Big Win Little Win way is ultimately to receive a better likelihood of winning against the sportsbooks.
Furthermore, assuming no team wins by two touchdowns or more, then both the Bills +160 odds and the Steelers +190 odds are in play for an arbitrage bet. Taking either team's Little Win odds comes with a better return than betting ATS but taking both of the little wins allows for between a half and full unit of profit after risking two units.
Behind their defense, the Steelers have won 11 of their games this season by an average margin of 11.73 points. The Bills in their nine victories have won by an average margin of 7.11 points. With those numbers in mind don’t hesitate to take the betting odds on both teams to will little.
For those looking to watch the Steelers-Bills matchup, it will be broadcasted by NBC as the kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. EST.