NFL Offensive Statistics For 2023-2024 Season
Those betting on the NFL should pay close attention to teams’ offensive statistics in order to gain an edge at online sportsbooks. NFL offensive stats that are important for betting can influence betting lines including betting on spreads, points totals, and player props. Both teams and player offensive stats are readily available for every NFL franchise and should be the first thing bettors look towards before wagering. These NFL offensive betting stats can be anything from points scored per game, total passing yards, total field goals, total rushing yards, and total TDs. These are just some of the offensive stats that are useful when betting on NFL games. There are also more advanced stats that NFL gamblers should be making note of when wagering. Outside of reading sportsbooks reviews, the best way to be a profitable bettor is to under the important NFL offensive statistics for betting.
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NFL Offensive Statistics And Context
When it comes to measuring the game of football, it can be tough to know where to start. We put this page together to make sure that you knew what kind of NFL statistics you could be looking at for players and teams, when it comes to sports betting. We want to cover the kind of statistics that can influence a spread, a line, or even your fantasy football league. We’ll start with the basics, points and yards, and then move on from there.
It is important to understand these statistics, and what they do and do not tell you about an NFL team. A lot of people look at how many points a team scores and assume that’s all on the offense, when in fact plenty of defenses are serious points contributors. Similarly, people look at yards allowed as a measure of defensive quality, which it can be, but plenty of defenses have been built with a bend-but-don’t-break methodology, and allow yardage but limit scoring opportunities. Understanding these statistics is important, but the big thing to know is that they are not going to give you the whole picture. With that said, let’s get started with the basics.
NFL Points Scored
The points that each team in a given game averages are very important when looking for NFL betting stats. High scoring teams produce games with more offensive statistics that can help player props for quarterbacks, wide receivers, and tight ends go over their respective totals. Put simply, when a team knows they are facing a high-octane offense they know that they must score more. This means they are willing to take more chances than usual, which results in more scoring for and against them. Two examples of this stand out from 2022. The two teams with the highest over percentage in the league (the Minnesota Vikings at 64.7% and the Detroit Lions at 58.8%) both finished within the top seven in total scoring on offense, but both ranked inside the four worst scoring defenses.
NFL Yards Gained
Yards is another statistic that seems good, and is good, but requires that you apply some nuance and critical thinking to it. In 2021, the Dallas Cowboys led the league in total yards gained by an offense, but were only sixth in points per game, and a lot of the reason for this is that their average drive was the longest in the NFL. The average Cowboys drive was 39.4 yards because they very often started with poor field position. They started with the third worst field position in the NFL, with an average starting position of their own 26 yard line. They were a good offense, but they also had farther to go most of the time - and to their credit, they did that. They were not, however, the best offense in the NFL, as one might expect if they went purely by the yards rankings. Once again, nuance is important.
Here’s where things get more advanced. DVOA stands for Defense-adjusted Value Over Average. Simply put, what it measures is how well an offense performed against the defenses it faced. This way, teams that face great defenses get a bit of a handicap for their performances - when you play the Patriots multiple times a year, your counting statistics like yards and points will go down, simply because two of your games come against a great defense, where other teams might not have to play anyone that good the entire season.
In 2019, by DVOA, the Baltimore Ravens were by far the best offense in the league, followed by the Dallas Cowboys, the Kansas City Chiefs (remember that Patrick Mahomes missed some of the regular season, which negatively impacts their performance in all of these metrics), and the New Orleans Saints. The worst offenses in the league, by far, were those of the Pittsburgh Steelers (Big Ben got hurt, and was replaced alternately by Mason Rudolph and Duck Hodges) and the New York Jets (they were very bad).
Next Gen Stats Definitions
While Next Gen stats on the NFL can provide an excellent look into a deeper aspect of the game, they should only be reviewed by those who understand the game and game plan behind it. Some Next Gen stats are as basic as a player's running speed but the more advanced ones compare a players aggressiveness, expected results, team share rates, and more. Find the full Next Gen glossary on their site, which details how to read Next Gen stats.
NFL Offensive Statistics Overview
These are just a couple of the ways you can look at NFL teams in order to analyze what is going on when they step on the field. There are other aspects to consider as well, such as the pace of play in games they are involved in (teams that run a lot of hurry-up offense will have higher pace of play, and generally higher scoring as well) and the amount of plays they run per game.
The point of these NFL betting stats is to make sure you know a little bit more when you place your wager. You don’t want to be in a position where you’re blindly relying on numbers without context, so remember to ask yourself why a statistic is telling you what it’s telling you. The most important thing you can do with stats like this is use them to supplement your thinking, not replace it.
Where You Can Make Money Off These Statistics
Now that the important NFL offensive betting stats have been soaked up, it's time to go ahead and move to making a bet. But where to do so? Betting on an NFL game is as easy as it's ever been before, with many US sportsbooks taking players from around the country and encouraging players to bet with them. NFL game odds, especially those for the Super Bowl + other big games, will be up days in advance of the upcoming week's matchups, giving bettors plenty of time to research info, like offensive stats. Our experts at USAOnlineSportsbooks.com endorse Bovada as the best site for NFL game lines and player props, with other sportsbooks such as BetOnline and MyBookie as other great places to put these NFL offensive statistics for betting to work.