- Jake Paul landed a matchup with Anthony Joshua after his original bout fell apart, pushing him into a far more demanding and experienced opponent than initially planned.
- The rapidly widening odds in Joshua’s favor underscore the significant challenge ahead for Paul and reflect the betting market’s strong confidence in the former champion.
MIAMI — Jake Paul will face Anthony Joshua, the two-time heavyweight champion on December 19. The fight only came to be after Paul’s first opponent, Tank Davis, withdrew.
Paul was scheduled, but the fight fell through after Davis encountered legal issues.
Enter Anthony Joshua , a far more imposing replacement than anyone expected. The British heavyweight usually comes in between 240 and 255 pounds and brings a 28-4 record with 25 knockouts, a reminder that his power hasn’t gone anywhere.
Despite a 4-3 stretch since 2021 and a rough knockout loss to Daniel Dubois, Joshua is still a serious problem for anyone in front of him. He owns wins over Wladimir Klitschko, Andy Ruiz Jr., and Francis Ngannou, and he’s always one clean shot away from turning a fight around.
With a different picture on his resume, Jake Paul is 12-1 with victories over aged MMA fighters, former NBA players, and even a 58-year-old Mike Tyson.
This discrepancy is starkly reflected in the boxing betting lines.
Joshua is placed at -1400 odds on Bovada, while Paul is at +775, indicating that Joshua has a 93–94% probability of winning.
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Oddsmakers and Promoters Predict Decisive Joshua Victory
Matchroom Boxing promoter Eddie Hearn hasn't minced words about his fighter's chances. While he admires Paul's courage for taking the fight, Hearn believes the he will discover the hard way in Miami just how vast the skill gap truly is.
With Joshua listed at -500 to win by stoppage, USA online sportsbooks have shown similar confidence, indicating they expect a violent, early conclusion.
This is fresh territory for Paul. He has never been the underdog in a fight, and his previous rivals, including Tyron Woodley, Anderson Silva, and Nate Diaz, are not as well-known as Joshua.
Joshua is already resting as high as -2000 at other sportsbooks online, offering a little payoff for his success.
Paul, however, is adamant that a victory will dispel any remaining skepticism over his authority. It's evident from the entertainment betting odds that he has a long way to go, and the match on December 19 at Miami's Kaseya Center is the most difficult challenge of his career.
Hunter began writing for USAOnlineSportsbooks in 2025 after graduating with a degree in Marketing and Sports Management. As a huge sports fan with extensive hockey knowledge, his focus on sports betting trends and industry analysis seeks to engage and inform readers.
