Early NFL Betting Action Pushes Bills Line Larger Over Colts

  • The Buffalo Bills have -340 odds to beat the Indianapolis Colts on TNF.
  • The Bills are 7.5-point favorites over the Colts.
  • The total points in the game is set at 50 points.

BUFFALO, N.Y. – The Buffalo Bills are heavier favorites to beat the Indianapolis Colts in Week 11 of the NFL season. While the Bills are heavily favored on the moneyline, it does not reflect on the spread as they are 7.5-point favorites.

Buffalo Bills Vs. Indianapolis Colts

  • Moneyline: Bills (-340) vs. Colts (+270)
  • Spread: Bills -7.5
  • Total: 50 Points

How Things Opened Up

Online sportsbooks opened up this line with the Bills favored at 6.5 points and with -330 odds on the moneyline. These shifts have to do with the way the public is betting on the Bills. The Bills are taking in just 47% of total bets on the spread, however, the sharps are making up for it on the handle as they have 76% of the total handle.

On the moneyline, the Bills are taking in the majority of the bets on both sides with 61% of total bets and 52% of the betting handle.

It is no secret as to why the Bills are favored in this one as they have the number one ranked defense allowing just 15 ppg and the second-ranked offense putting up 31.1 ppg.

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Following The Trends

As for where the best possible money can be made, the Bills have an ongoing trend that backs up their NFL odds on the moneyline. In the five home games that the Bills have been favored by 7.5-points, they have gone 5-0 on the moneyline. In their last 20 home games as a 7.5-point favorite or more, they have gone 18-2 and have won their last nine games.

As for the Colts, they have been a 7.5-point road underdog 14 times and have gone an unimpressive 3-11 on the moneyline. In their last 20 games as a 7.5-point or more road underdog, they are 4-16 overall.

The kicker for betting on the Bills to win outright rather than betting on them to cover the spread is that they have gone 1-4 against the spread in their last five games as a 7.5-point home favorite.