Houston An Underdog To Destroy Cincinnati Football’s CFP Hopes

  • The Cincinnati Bearcats are 10.5-point favorites over the Houston Cougars in the American conference championships game.
  • The total is set at 53.0 points with -110 betting odds on either side of the line.

CINCINNATI – The Cincinnati Bearcats will face the Houston Cougars in their conference championship game on Saturday, but Cincinnati has much more on their mind than just a conference title.

Could Houston Win The Conference?

Surely there are still people out there who believe that the Cincinnati Bearcats are a fluke program that can’t compete with the top teams in the country. Those people are likely the ones who will say the Houston Cougars will beat them in the American conference championship games on Saturday.

Online sportsbooks are offering a hefty payout to anyone who’s willing to put their money where their mouth is on an upset.

Cincinnati vs Houston Moneyline Odds

  • Houston Cougars +330
  • Cincinnati Bearcats -430

However, there is the added factor of the teams knowing if Cincinnati were to win, they're likely promised a spot in the College Football Playoff. Some will say it adds pressure while others will say it adds motivation.

Realistically, it's probably a non-factor.

Statistically, the team’s match-up fairly well. The Bearcats score just 0.8 more points and gain 8.7 more yards per game than the Cougars while their defense allows 4.0 fewer points despite allowing 13.8 more yards per game.

The numbers don’t show two teams separated by 10+ points, but that’s what the sportsbooks have set the spread at.

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Cincinnati vs Houston Spread Odds

  • Houston Cougars +10.5 -110
  • Cincinnati Bearcats -10.5 -110

Cincinnati has won 10 of their 12 games by 11 or more points including in their only other ranked matchup against Notre Dame. Houston, on the other hand, only played one Power 5 school in Texas Tech and lost that game 38-21, potentially showing they’re good for the conference’s standards, but not on the national level.

Betting The Total: 53.0 Points

Those betting on college football may be more inclined to bet on the total of the game, which sportsbooks have set at 53.0 points.

Houston vs Cincinnati Total Odds

  • OVER 53.0 -110
  • UNDER 53.0 -110

These teams both have high-scoring offenses and good defenses. They combine to score 78.4 points per game but combine to allow just 35.6 points per game. Cincinnati has gone OVER this number in six of their 12 games while Houston went OVER in seven of their 12.

It seems fair to assume the Bearcats will get their fair share of points and the total may ultimately come down to whether Houston is able to find the end zone against the stout Cincinnati defense.

The game will air on ABC at 4 p.m. EST on Saturday.