Best Bets For First US Open Semifinal Matches

  • Aryna Sabalenka is a 4.5-game betting favorite with -400 on the moneyline against Leylah Annie Fernandez +320 in the women’s semifinals.
  • Daniil Medvedev has -600 odds to advance past Felix Auger-Aliassime +425 on the men’s side of the court.

NEW YORK – The semifinals phase of the US Open begins on Thursday for the women and on Friday for the men. As the athletes compete for a spot in the finals, the betting odds are predicting lopsided matchups on both days.

Thursday’s Semifinals: Aryna Sabalenka Vs. Leylah Annie Fernandez

The opening semifinal clash on the women’s side of the bracket is an interesting one. Aryna Sabalenka is one of the best players in the world and is ranked No. 2 in the world rankings. She will be facing Leylah Annie Fernadez, a 19-year-old tennis player who has taken down three straight top 20 opponents. Online sportsbooks favor Sabalenka for this pairing.

Sabalenka Vs. Fernandez Moneyline Odds

  • Aryna Sabalenka -400
  • Leylah Annie Fernandez +320

Given how Sabalenka has been playing, it’s tough to bet against her. She’s played the No. 16, No. 15 and No. 8 seeds in the tournament and has won each set by an average score of 6.0-2.66. However, those betting on tennis may know Fernandez as being on the wrong side of one of her most recent upsets.

Fernandez has taken down Naomi Osaka, Angelique Kerber, and Elina Svitolina in three straight rounds and will now have arguably her biggest test yet with Sabalenka. The odds suggest she’ll fall short but the same could have been said for each of her last three opponents.

Friday’s Semifinal: Daniil Medvedev Vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime

Daniil Medvedev has been cruising through the US Open, having only dropped a single set thus far. Felix Auger-Aliassime may not have been as dominant but he’s still reached the same point within the tournament to get to this match. Sports betting sites have pegged Medvedev as the heavy favorite for this one.

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Medvedev Vs. Auger-Aliassime Moneyline Odds

  • Daniil Medvedev -600
  • Felix Auger-Aliassime +425

The favorite is second in the ATP world rankings and is fully expected to have a meeting with Novak Djokovic in the finals. Medvedev is having a career-best season so far, winning 66% of his service games, 30% of his return games, and 54% of overall points.

The man trying to beat him will be Auger-Aliassime. He’s 15th in the world rankings and has made it past some respectable names to get here, such as Frances Tiafoe and Roberto Bautista Agut. He’s won 84% of his service games, 23% of his return games, and 52% of overall points this year which is among the best, but not quite on Medvedev’s level.

The fact that this is a semifinal match between two players ranked in the top 15 and Medvedev has -105 odds to win in straight sets should tell the story. One athlete is simply better than the other, statistically speaking.