- The Tottenham Hotspurs will face off against Sheffield United on March 1, and boast a nice value of -120 odds for Tottenham to win
- Burnley is the top team in the EFL Championship and will enter the match against Fleetwood Town favored by -1.5, -2.0 with EVEN odds
- Manchester United vs West Ham United offers big profit potential with exact margin of victory odds of +255 (one goal) or +360 (two goals) for Manchester
LONDON – The fifth round of the FA Cup is set to begin on Tuesday and Wednesday, kicking off with Stoke City vs Brighton & Hove Albion at 2:15 p.m. EST. Of the eight matches, a few of them contain some odds to take advantage of that are -120 or longer.
Because the FA Cup includes teams from the top flight of English football (Premier League) as well as the three lower divisions of the English Football League, matches have money line odds as short as -600. Narrowing down the best bets alongside using the unique quarter ball bets offered on online betting sites can help determine how to make some profit on the FA Cup betting lines.
Tottenham Hotspurs @ Sheffield United
Tottenham comes into this game nursing a two goal average winning margin throughout their first two FA Cup matches. Sheffield has done much of the same while adding in a 3-3 draw vs Wrexham. While the two teams have not played in each other in about two years, Tottenham handily won both games in 2021 by an average win margin of three goals.
Tottenham is currently seventh place in the Premier League while Sheffield is the second best team in the EFL Championship and is looking to be promoted to the PL after this season. Tottenham is led by Harry Kane, who has the second most Premier League goals on the year with 18.
While Sheffield has definitely been an impressive team in the EFL this year, there is still quite a large gap between a top EFL Championship team and the top half of the Premier League. Though, the big injury to Tottenham goalkeeper Hugo Lloris may present an issue for the club.
Tottenham struggled in their first two matches without Lloris, losing both and letting in five goals. However, they have looked much better in the two games since, winning both by two goals apiece and letting in zero, including a statement win over Chelsea.
Hot off one of their best wins of the year, Tottenham’s odds of -120 to win outright against Sheffield is shaping up to be a strong bet if the Hotspurs can once again rally without their top goalie.
Fleetwood Town @ Burnley Features Unique Spread
Burnley is firmly in the lead as the top team in the EFL Championship, while Fleetwood is a middling League One squad. This discrepancy has led to Burnley being a heavy favorite at -375 odds. These odds are not very approachable though, so the unique quarter ball spread of -1.5, -2.0 (EVEN) may be a more attractive option.
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Quarter ball essentially means that any bet placed on the spreads will be split up evenly, half for -1.5 and half for -2.0, both at EVEN odds. Matchup data is very scarce for these two teams as they play in separate leagues, but Burnley has won their two games from 2015 and 2019 by a score of 2-0 each.
The big difference in each league’s skill level will once again be a big factor as Burnley is approaching Premier League status while Fleetwood Town is struggling to make waves in League One. Sticking with the history and the clear skill difference between the teams should lead to the quarter ball spread of -1.5, -2.0 being a nice value at EVEN odds.
West Ham United @ Manchester United Sports Great Margin of Victory Odds
The last notable bet that has been featured on online sportsbooks takes advantage of the exact winning margin’s huge odds for Manchester United. In the last five matchups between these two teams, Manchester has won in four of them by a one goal margin.
Manchester United has been on fire in February, winning six matches and drawing two, with no losses. On the other hand, West Ham has struggled with just one win, one loss, and two draws on the month. Manchester’s offense has also been unstoppable, with two or more goals in each of their last 10 matches.
Following with the idea of ManU winning, the exact winning margin has +255 and +360 odds for them to win by one or two goals, respectively. Hedging this by betting on both margins may prove to be a great strategy to make profit on this FA Cup game in the event that Manchester can take home the win without blowing out West Ham by three or more goals (+390).
Jeremias began writing 4 years ago after beginning his career at Florida State University. He mainly focuses on using analytics and statistics to educate readers on trends and discoveries to get a leg up on sportsbooks. He mainly focuses on NFL, NHL, and NBA. During his free time, you can find him researching, writing, and betting on various sports.