- Patrick Mahomes has -125 odds to go under 25.5 pass completions against the Denver Broncos.
- There are -120 odds favoring Patrick Mahomes to throw over 35.5 passing attempts.
- Mahomes went under his passing attempts and completions prop in five of his last six games as a heavy favorite.
KANSAS CITY, Mo. – Player props for Patrick Mahomes offer value for the under based on recent history as a favorite of 8.5 points or more. The Kansas City Chiefs are 10.5-point favorites against the Denver Broncos on Thursday night.
Patrick Mahomes went under his props for completions, attempts, and passing yards in five of his last six games as a heavy favorite. As a result, online sportsbooks favor the under for Mahomes’ completions prop.
Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop
- Over 25.5 Completions -105
- Under 25.5 Completions -125
Patrick Mahomes had under 25.5 completions in three of five games this season. Mahomes went under his completions prop in both games as an 8.5-point favorite or more this season.
Rashee Rice, his top receiving target outside of Travis Kelce, leads all wide receivers with a 16.7% drop rate. Fellow Chiefs receiver Kadarius Toney is next on the list with a 15.8% drop rate.
The Chiefs will likely rely on the run game against a poor Broncos defense, especially if Travis Kelce’s ankle injury keeps him out for Thursday Night football. Bet the -125 odds at Missouri online sportsbooks for Mahomes to throw less than 25.5 completions.
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Betting The Under For Mahomes Passing Attempts (-110)
Mahomes has -110 odds to go under 35.5 passing attempts against the Denver Broncos. He threw less than 35.5 passing attempts against the Chicago Bears and New York Jets; the only two games this season where the Chiefs were heavily favored.
Patrick Mahomes Passing Attempts Prop
- Over 35.5 Passing Attempts -120
- Under 35.5 Passing Attempts -110
It’s a rare situation to bet on the NFL and go against Patrick Mahomes, but a lopsided game script would influence Mahomes to attempt fewer passes. The Denver Broncos allow 5.9 yards per carry, leaving no reason for Mahomes to attempt over 35.5 passes at -120 odds.
Parlaying the under for Mahomes’ passing attempts and completions offers +120 odds for Thursday night.
Zach is currently a student enrolled at Florida State University. He is majoring in Writing, Editing, and Media with a minor in Communication. He has a passion for sports betting and specializes in DFS for NFL, NBA, and MLB. At the casino, you can find Zach playing Texas Hold’em Poker or roulette.