Can The Grizzlies Cover -8.5 Spread Against Struggling OKC?

  • The Memphis Grizzlies have -110 odds to cover the -8.5 spread at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder.
  • The Thunder are 6-4 against the spread and the Grizzles are 5-5, including covering in their last two wins.
  • OKC is on a seven-game losing streak.

MEMPHIS, Tenn. – The Memphis Grizzlies host the Oklahoma City Thunder and see short odds to cover the spread.

OKC is currently on a seven-game losing streak, but many of these losses have been close games. The Thunder are 6-4 against the spread and covered in six straight before losing two games to the Houston Rockets in which OKC was favored.

The Grizzlies are only 5-5 against the spread but have covered in their last two outings. The spread is set at -8.5 at online sportsbooks and the Grizzlies have shown they can cover big spreads, like the -11.5 against the Rockets.

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs. Memphis Grizzlies

  • Thunder Moneyline: +335
  • Grizzlies Moneyline: -455
  • Spread: Grizzlies -8.5
  • Totals: O/U 214.5

Grizzlies Scoring Decline

The Memphis Grizzlies average  110 PPG but are allowing opponents 114.4 PPG. The Thunder are averaging 99 PPG and give up 106.1 PPG.

If both teams score their averages, then the Grizzlies will be able to cover. Unfortunately, Memphis has seen their scoring output drop to 97.4 PPG in their last 10 outings.

Memphis scored 98 points against the Toronto Raptors who have a defensive rating of 110.7. The Grizzlies were also held to just 100 points against the Atlanta Hawks whose defensive rating is 110.9.

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While Memphis did manage to explode for 128 against the Sacramento Kings, their defensive rating is 112 and one of the worse in the league.

The Thunder’s defensive rating is 107.6 which would be the toughest defense the Grizzlies have faced in their last five outings.

Grizzlies Defensive Effort

Of course, scoring big isn’t the only way the Grizzlies can cover. While only scoring 98 points against Toronto, the Grizzlies covered the spread by holding the Raptors to just 91 points.

The Grizzlies defensive rating is 114.2 this season, however, and many teams have had big scoring nights against the Grizzlies defense.

The Grizzlies gave up 132 to the Atlanta Hawks in a game they failed to cover the spread and 126 to the Raptors in an earlier matchup where the Grizzlies also failed to cover.

What’s working in the Grizzlies’ favor is the continued low scoring the Thunder have output in the last 10 games. OKC has jumped slightly to 105.5 PPG during that stretch, but this has been inconsistent.

NBA sportsbooks have reflected this in the odds, with the Thunder’s total points set at just 102 with -115 odds on both sides. The Grizzlies’ total points are set at 111.

If the Thunder’s low-scoring trend continues against the Grizzlies, Memphis should be able to cover the spread.

Tip-off starts at 8 p.m. EST on NBA League Pass.