Daily Sports Betting Preview 3/23/2021: NBA, ATP Miami, NHL

  • The Golden State Warriors have +140 odds to defeat the Philadelphia 76ers.
  • Jason Jung is a 3.5 game favorite over Paolo Lorenzi.
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning have -170 odds to defeat the Dallas Stars.

LAS VEGAS - Welcome to the Daily Sports Betting Preview on this fine Tuesday.

First up on the Preview, the Golden State Warriors face off against the Philadelphia 76ers in the NBA. Then, at ATP Miami, Jason Jung faces off against Pablo Lorenzi. Finally, in the NHL, the Tampa Bay Lightning take on the Dallas Stars.

There’s a lot to cover, so let’s get started!

NBA Betting

The Golden State Warriors are just outside of the playoffs in the Western Conference, and inconsistency has ruled their season.

The Dubs are 22-21 on the season, and they’ve only won four of their last ten games, so they’re looking to make an improvement in this matchup.

This is a tough ask - the Philadelphia 76ers are a great team, and they have been at the top of the Eastern Conference for most of the year.

However, the Warriors have one important advantage over the 76ers - the Warriors are playing at home.

Golden State Warriors vs. Philadelphia 76ers Moneyline

  • Philadelphia 76ers -160
  • Golden State Warriors +140

The moneyline for this matchup favors the visiting Sixers, but there’s an open question as to how good the Sixers actually are on the road.

This is the second year in a row in which the Sixers are incredible at home, and mediocre on the road in terms of game wins. At home, the Sixers are 19-4, while on the road, they’re 11-9. That’s a huge discrepancy in performance.

The Warriors could be a solid play on the moneyline simply due to how poorly the Sixers tend to perform on the road.

That said, the Sixers are still above .500 on the road, and they are still a team that has elite performers.

Golden State Warriors vs. Philadelphia 76ers Spread

  • Philadelphia 76ers -3.5
  • Golden State Warriors +3.5

There is a similar - although less pronounced - dynamic when it comes to the Sixers' road performances against the spread.

The Sixers are 24-17-2 on the spread overall, and 8-10-2 on the spread on the road, which is yet another big drop-off. However, it’s a drop from ‘good against the spread’ to ‘medium against the spread’ - this isn’t a strong enough trend to justify fading the Sixers’ road spread.

It’s still worth considering, however, in the context of NBA betting - all of these edges are.

ATP Tennis Betting

ATP Miami features a large volume of potential wagering opportunities today, with matches running through the afternoon.

One intriguing matchup from ATP Miami features Jason Jung taking on Paolo Lorenzi.

Jason Jung vs. Pablo Lorenzi Moneyline

  • Jason Jung -190
  • Pablo Lorenzi +160

The moneyline in this matchup favors Jung at almost 1:2 odds, while Lorenzi is a respectable, if definite, underdog. Jung enters this matchup as the 10th seed in this tournament, while Lorenzi is the 14th seed.

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Jung, a veteran at age 31, is ranked 149th in the world by the ATP. He has a 9-20 career win/loss record in singles competition. Lorenzi is also a veteran, at age 37, and is ranked only a few slots below Jung at 157th in the world.

He has not played a professional match in 2021 and has peaked as high as 33rd in the world, back in 2017.

Jason Jung vs. Pablo Lorenzi Spread

  • Jason Jung -3.5 (+100)
  • Pablo Lorenzi +3.5 (-130)

The spread for this matchup is intriguing, especially when the shading is factored in.

This spread is very strongly shaded towards Lorenzi +3.5, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see it move to Lorenzi +3.0, as -130 shading on 3.5 implies that there is money coming in on that line.

At this point, it’s just a question of where the spread will land, and the matchup is fairly close on the spread regardless.

Tennis betting fans have this and many other matchups to wager on as ATP Miami continues, and the tournament provides solid value to volume tennis bettors.

NHL Betting

The Tampa Bay Lightning are arguably the best team in the NHL, and are the defending champions of the league. They’re in first place in the Central Division, and lead the entire NHL in goal differential with a whopping +42.

Today, they face off against the Dallas Stars, a team planted firmly at the bottom of the Central Division, and the odds reflect this.

This may be a rematch of last year’s Stanley Cup Finals, but the Stars appear to be a far worse team than they were. Then again, they were a bit of a Cinderella story for making the finals in 2020, so results like these are in range for them.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Dallas Stars

  • Tampa Bay Lightning -170
  • Dallas Stars +150

Tampa Bay enters this matchup on a four-game winning streak, and three of those wins have been in regulation.

At some point, Dallas has to start picking up wins if they want to make it to the Playoffs this year - they’re seemingly better than their record indicates, but their inability to win has hurt them.

The Stars have a goal differential of +5, but their record puts them behind the Predators, the Blue Jackets, and the Blackhawks in the Central Division - all teams with heavily negative goal differentials.

The Stars may be a better team than their record indicates, but it’s unlikely that they’re good enough to compete with the Lightning.

This matchup reasonably favors Tampa Bay, and it should. Hockey betting fans can approach it with a mindset that the odds are roughly in the correct place.

Good luck!