Early 2021 Golden Globes Betting Odds Analysis

• The Golden Globes ceremony will take place on January 28.
• Odds are already up on the major sportsbooks.
• Nomadland has -110 odds to win Best Film Drama.

LAS VEGAS - The Golden Globes awards ceremony will happen on January 28th, 2021, which means it’s time to review some of the award categories and their respective odds.

Golden Globes betting is available on each of the award categories that will be given out during the show, and there are a lot of worthy contenders on the online sportsbooks hosting these odds.

However, there are certain odds that general sports bettors will want to keep an eye on and those include the odds for Best Film Screenplay, Best Film Comedy/Musical, and Best Film Drama.

Let’s get started!

Best Film Screenplay Odds - 2021 Golden Globes

• The Trial Of The Chicago 7 EVEN
• Mank +500
• Nomadland +550
• One Night In Miami +550
• The Father +600
• On The Rocks +1400
• Ma Rainey's Black Bottom +1800
• Promising Young Woman +2000
• Soul +2000
• First Cow +2500
• News Of The World +2500

At the top of the odds boards in this category is The Trial of the Chicago 7, written by Aaron Sorkin.

The movie is filled with Sorkinsims and his trademark style shines through - it’s a movie that has his fingerprints all over it.

Mank, Nomadland, One Night In Miami, and The Father are the other main contenders and seem to be cannibalizing each other a bit.

Each of them sits in roughly the same range, from +500 to +600, and one could wager on all four of them and end up in the money if one of them wins.

However, given Sorkins’s history with this award show, it would be hard not to bet on the favorite. Sorkin has won best screenplay in 2011 for The Social Network and again in 2016 for Steve Jobs. He’s also won multiple Emmys for the political drama The West Wing.

Best Film Comedy/Musical - 2021 Golden Globes

• The Prom +240
• On The Rocks +325
• Hamilton +350
• Borat Subsequent Moviefilm +450
• Palm Springs +550
• French Exit +1000
• Let Them All Talk +1400
• Personal History Of David Copperfield +1400
• Emma +1800
• The Forty-Year-Old Version +2500

The category for Best Film Comedy/Musical seems to be fairly wide open. The Prom, directed by Ryan Murphy, was released in December of 2020, and is the favorite in this category only a month later.

The Prom has poor ratings from both critics and audience, with Rotten Tomatoes giving it 57% from critics and 66% from audiences.

On The Rocks, directed by Sofia Coppola and starring Rashida Jones and Bill Murray as a daughter/father combination suspicious of Jones’ husband, is second on the boards at +325.

On The Rocks has an 86% critic score on Rotten Tomatoes and only a 50% audience score.

After that, the famous musical Hamilton clocks in at +350, while Borat Subsequent Moviefilm sits at +450.

There are a lot of solid contenders here, and two underdogs stick out as potentially solid bets in a politically charged environment - Hamilton and Borat Subsequent Moviefilm.

Hamilton, at 98% from critics and 90% from audiences on Rotten Tomatoes, would be a runaway favorite if it hadn’t been a hit Broadway musical for years before this.

Borat Subsequent Moviefilm has an 85% critic score on Rotten Tomatoes, and a 65% audience score, possibly reflecting the overt political leanings of the film.

Both of them seem like plausible underdogs over two favorites that seemed to garner only mild praise from critics and minimal audience attention.

Best Film Drama - 2021 Golden Globes

• Nomadland -110
• The Trial Of The Chicago 7 +450
• Mank +500
• Ma Rainey's Black Bottom +600
• The Father +800
• One Night In Miami +900
• Da 5 Bloods +1600
• News Of The World +1600
• Promising Young Woman +1600

This category is dominated by one film - Nomadland. The film is Certified Fresh by Rotten Tomatoes, with a 97% score from critics.

Nomadland is the odds on favorite in this category - a well-reviewed film about the aftereffects of the Great Recession.

It has not seen a theatrical release yet, premiering on September 11th at the Venice Film Festival and winning the top prize there. In addition, it also won the top award at the Toronto Film Festival. No previous movie has ever won both of those awards.

The film seems like a shoe-in for this prize given its resume thus far, and the fact that it sits at only -110 is a testament to the quality of the other films on the list.

There are a lot of solid contenders in this category, from Da 5 Bloods to The Father and Mank, among others.

However, Nomadland seems to be worth serious consideration from Golden Globes betting enthusiasts, even at -110 odds.