Eight NFL Games Have Home Underdogs In Week 1

  • The Detroit Lions are 6-19 on the moneyline as home as an underdog over the last five years.
  • The Indianapolis Colts are 1-10 straight up as a home underdog since 2016.
  • The New Orleans Saints are 4-2 straight up and against the spread as a home underdog since 2016.
  • Over the last five seasons, the New York Giants are 9-17 ATS as an underdog at home.

LAS VEGAS – Being a home underdog isn’t extremely uncommon, but having half of the games in a week fitting the situation is on the higher side. Some teams have strong betting trends when labeled as an underdog at home.

Detroit Lions: 6-19 SU

Over the last five years, the Detroit Lions have been an underdog at home quite a few times. They’ve compiled a 6-19 record since then on the moneyline. Online sportsbooks have the Lions as sizable underdogs against the San Francisco 49ers to open up the 2021 season.

Lions vs 49ers Moneyline Odds

  • San Francisco 49ers -360
  • Detroit Lions +280

Detroit is a part of the shortlist of what’s thought to be the worst teams in the NFL this season.

It’s safe to assume the team will be underdogs in many of their home games this season. If the team doesn’t improve quickly, the 6-19 record could look much worse by the end of the year.

Indianapolis Colts: 1-10 SU

Since the start of the 2016 season, there hasn’t been a worse team on the moneyline than the Indianapolis Colts. Having won just one of their 11 games as a home underdog, it’s the worst record (9.1%) of any team regardless of the number of games played.

NFL betting sites have Indianapolis as minor underdogs against the Seattle Seahawks.

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Colts vs Seahawks Moneyline Odds

  • Seattle Seahawks -150
  • Indianapolis Colts +130

During the offseason Indianapolis was actually favored but the line shifted in the other direction steadily as the game has gotten closer. How a bettor wants to discern what that means is up to the individual, but at the end of the day, the Colts are the worst home underdog bet in the league.

New Orleans Saints: 4-2 ATS/4-2 SU

The New Orleans Saints are heading in a new direction as Drew Brees retired after the end of the last season. Under Brees, the Saints were one of the few profitable teams as a home underdog going 4-2 both straight up and against the spread since 2016.

Saints vs Packers Spread Odds

  • Green Bay Packers -4.5 -110
  • New Orleans Saints +4.5 -110

Over the last five years, only five teams have above a .500 record straight up as a home underdog and the Saints are one of them. Whether this trend is gone with Brees is yet to be seen and while it’s possible it could just as likely be due to Sean Payton.

New York Giants: 7-19 SU

The New York Giants will play the Denver Broncos in Week 1 as home underdogs. Over the last five seasons, only the New York Jets have had more games as an underdog at home, but only a few teams have fared worse.

Giants vs Broncos Moneyline Odds

  • Denver Broncos -160
  • New York Giants +140

The Giants have won just 26.9% of their games as a home underdog. Sports betting sites are expecting a close game and there’s a fair argument to be made that the Giants should win, but the trend speaks for itself.