Final Four Betting: Biggest Trends For UCLA-Gonzaga

  • The (1) Gonzaga Bulldogs are 14.5-point favorites over the (11) UCLA Bruins in their Final Four matchup.
  • The O/U for the UCLA-Gonzaga Final Four matchup is 145.5 points.
  • Gonzaga has the shortest odds of any remaining team to win the 2021 NCAA Tournament at -200 odds.

INDIANAPOLIS – The 2021 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament has been a memorable one as upsets and close games have been common themes.

The Final Four matchup between the No. 1 seed Gonzaga Bulldogs and the No. 11 UCLA Bruins perfectly captures what March Madness is.

The 11-seed UCLA Bruins went from participating in the play-in game to the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament.

On the other side, the 1-seed Gonzaga has been favored to win the National Championship for most of the season. Of the remaining Final Four teams, Bovada has Gonzaga listed with the shortest odds at -200.

Odds To Win 2021 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament

  • Gonzaga (#1) -200
  • Baylor (#1) +275
  • Houston (#2) +750
  • UCLA (#11) +2000

One of the main reasons Gonzaga is heavily favored is they’re still undefeated on the season being powered by the trio of Drew Timme, Jalen Suggs, and Corey Kispert. Gonzaga’s offense has proven that it can generate offense in multiple ways.

Facing a talented UCLA team that features former Kentucky transfer Johnny Juzang and Tyger Campbell, the Bruins have been the most dangerous team in college basketball.

(11) UCLA Bruins vs. (1) Gonzaga Bulldogs (-14.5) @ 8:34 p.m. EST

  • Spread: Gonzaga (-14.5)
  • Moneyline: UCLA (+650) vs. Gonzaga (-1100)
  • O/U: 145.5

Gonzaga is favored to beat the UCLA Bruins by 14.5 points in their Final Four matchup. The spread is the best betting option as the -1100 moneyline odds on Gonzaga to win SU are only worth adding to a parlay if that. Before placing any bets on this Final Four matchup there are some notable trends to look at.

Gonzaga Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in three of Gonzaga’s last four games.

The Bulldogs have one of the best offenses in the country and in the tournament, they haven’t scored less than 80 points. The under has hit in two straight games but that’s not because Gonzaga can’t put points on the board. However, bettors should follow the trend here and take the Under as Gonzaga’s offense can put up points, but it remains to be seen if UCLA’s offense can keep up with the scoring to make the Over hit.

  • Gonzaga is 4-0 ATS in the 2021 NCAA Tournament.

The Bulldogs have rolled through the tournament covering spreads of -33, -15.5, -12.5, and -8.5 en route to the Final Four. No matter the spread set by sportsbooks Gonzaga has found a way to cover and expect that to continue this weekend as the Bruins likely won’t be able to match the Bulldogs scoring output. UCLA has eclipsed the 80-point mark in two of their five tournament games if Gonzaga’s offense plays like it has all season long the Bulldogs should be able to comfortably cover their fifth straight game.

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UCLA Betting Trends

  • The Bruins are 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

UCLA has covered spreads of +2.5, +3.5, -5.5, +7, and +6.5 in their last five games. The Bruin's versatility on offense has been the fire behind their deep tournament run. The Bruins have the talent on their team to pull off the upset, but they’ll have to play a near-perfect game. UCLA might not win the game, but they’ll keep the score close enough to cover the 14-point spread.

  • The total has gone under in three of UCLA’s last four games

The Bruins offense has not been lighting up the scoreboard, yet they remain one game away from playing for a national title. This will be the toughest opponent UCLA has faced all season and while with the offenses on the court this over is in play, bettors should follow the trend and take the Under here. Gonzaga’s defense along with the length of their impact players will present problems for the Bruins offense and that’s enough to take the Under comfortably here.

Gonzaga and UCLA are two of the more storied basketball programs in the country and the last time these two teams faced each other in the Final Four it led to one of the wildest finishes in NCAA Tournament history and this year's matchup could end up being a close game as well.

The Final Four game between the UCLA-Gonzaga will tip-off at 8:34 p.m. EST on Saturday and will be broadcasted by CBS.