Home Field Advantage Favors Chiefs Vs Dolphins on Saturday

  • The Kansas City Chiefs are 4.0-point favorites against the Miami Dolphins at Arrowhead Stadium.
  • Miami is 0-9 outright and 2-9 against the spread in cold weather games under 40 degrees.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has -135 odds to go under 239.5 passing yards on Saturday night.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. – Saturday night’s Wild Card matchup favors the Kansas City Chiefs by 4.0 points against the Miami Dolphins. Cold weather at Arrowhead Stadium brings value to the Chiefs cashing their -210 moneyline odds.

Kansas City is the betting favorite at USA online sportsbooks thanks to home-field advantage and a Week 9 head-to-head victory. The Chiefs won nine of their last 10 home playoff games since 2019.

Miami Dolphins Vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Lines

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Miami Dolphins +4.0 (-105) +175 O44.5 (-105)
Kansas City Chiefs -4.0 (-115) -210 U44.5 (-115)

In their last nine games played in 40 degrees or colder weather, the Dolphins are 0-9 and are 2-7 against the spread. The Chiefs have -115 odds at Missouri online sportsbooks to cover the 4.0-point spread on Saturday night.

Weather Impacts Betting On Chiefs and Tua Tagovailoa

According to the National Weather Service, Saturday will have a high of 11 degrees and a low of -5 degrees Fahrenheit. The wind chill is expected to drop the weather to -21 degrees, making it especially tough for the Dolphins.

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Tua Tagovailoa has also struggled in cold conditions, posting an 0-4 record when the kickoff temperature is below 45 degrees. Tagovailoa has a 55.5% completion percentage and a 71.8 passer rating in those games.

  • Over 239.5 Passing Yards +105
  • Under 239.5 Passing Yards -135

As a result, sportsbooks for the NFL favor the under (-135) for Tagovailoa’s passing yards projection. The Dolphins quarterback went under 239.5 passing yards in three of his last four games.