- The Kansas City Chiefs are 4.0-point favorites against the Miami Dolphins at Arrowhead Stadium.
- Miami is 0-9 outright and 2-9 against the spread in cold weather games under 40 degrees.
- Tua Tagovailoa has -135 odds to go under 239.5 passing yards on Saturday night.
KANSAS CITY, Mo. – Saturday night’s Wild Card matchup favors the Kansas City Chiefs by 4.0 points against the Miami Dolphins. Cold weather at Arrowhead Stadium brings value to the Chiefs cashing their -210 moneyline odds.
Kansas City is the betting favorite at USA online sportsbooks thanks to home-field advantage and a Week 9 head-to-head victory. The Chiefs won nine of their last 10 home playoff games since 2019.
Miami Dolphins Vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Lines
|Kansas City Chiefs
In their last nine games played in 40 degrees or colder weather, the Dolphins are 0-9 and are 2-7 against the spread. The Chiefs have -115 odds at Missouri online sportsbooks to cover the 4.0-point spread on Saturday night.
Weather Impacts Betting On Chiefs and Tua Tagovailoa
According to the National Weather Service, Saturday will have a high of 11 degrees and a low of -5 degrees Fahrenheit. The wind chill is expected to drop the weather to -21 degrees, making it especially tough for the Dolphins.
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Tua Tagovailoa has also struggled in cold conditions, posting an 0-4 record when the kickoff temperature is below 45 degrees. Tagovailoa has a 55.5% completion percentage and a 71.8 passer rating in those games.
- Over 239.5 Passing Yards +105
- Under 239.5 Passing Yards -135
As a result, sportsbooks for the NFL favor the under (-135) for Tagovailoa’s passing yards projection. The Dolphins quarterback went under 239.5 passing yards in three of his last four games.
Zach is currently a student enrolled at Florida State University. He is majoring in Writing, Editing, and Media with a minor in Communication. He has a passion for sports betting and specializes in DFS for NFL, NBA, and MLB. At the casino, you can find Zach playing Texas Hold’em Poker or roulette.