Jets Could Become 9th Team In NFL To Be 20+ Point Underdogs

  • The defending Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs are a 19.5 point spread favorite over the winless New York Jets in their game this Sunday.
  • This is the ninth-largest spread in NFL history, with the Denver Broncos at -28 in 2013 against the Jacksonville Jaguars as the record holder.
  • Interestingly enough, among the eight games in front of this one with the largest spreads in NFL history, the underdog has covered seven times.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. – When the Kansas City Chiefs and New York Jets line up for their game this Sunday, they will be making NFL history.

Not by any actual football that will be played on the field, but history in the sportsbooks.

The Kansas City Chiefs are 6-1 so far in 2020, are the reigning and defending Super Bowl Champions, and are led by arguably the best quarterback talent of this generation in Patrick Mahomes.

Meanwhile, the New York Jets are 0-7, are last in nearly every statistical category in the league, and just two weeks ago scored zero points in a game against the Miami Dolphins.

These two teams on nearly polar opposite sides of the franchise health spectrum will play this Sunday, where the Chiefs are a 19.5 favorite according to the oddsmakers of the major online sportsbooks.

NFL Week 8 – 11/1/20 1:00 p.m. EST:

  • New York Jets +1125
  • Kansas City Chiefs -3000
  • Spread: KC -19.5
  • O/U: 49.0

The historical significance of this matchup comes from the humongous point spread that has been assigned to this game.

The 19.5 point spread in favor of Kansas City is currently the ninth-largest point spread in NFL history since betting information started being recorded in the ’70s.

The NFL bookies are so low on the Jets that they have set the line at nearly three touchdowns. While that line may seem egregious to some, it is important to remember the true goal of the point spread.

The spread is not the handicapper’s exact prediction for the margin of victory for any team. The spread is designed to entice bettors to bet equal money on both sides of the line.

So, when browsing the NFL odds for this weekend, bettors should take in mind a bit of history when approaching this line.

Biggest Spreads In NFL History

Looking at each of the games ahead of this one on the list of largest spreads in NFL history can yield some unexpected trends.

2020 Chiefs vs. Jets

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  • Spread: KC -19.5
  • Result: Unknown

1976 Patriots vs. Buccaneers:

  • Spread: NE -21
  • Result: 31-14 NE

2007 Patriots vs. Dolphins:

  • Spread: NE -22
  • Result: 49-28 NE

1977 Cowboys vs. Buccaneers:

  • Spread: DAL -23
  • Result: 17-7 DAL

1987 49ers vs. Falcons:

  • Spread: SF -24
  • Result: 25-17 SF

1993 49ers vs. Bengals:

  • Spread: SF -24
  • Result: 21-8 SF

2007 Patriots vs. Eagles:

  • Spread: -25
  • Result: 31-28 NE

1976 Steelers vs. Buccaneers:

  • Spread: -27
  • Result: 42-0 PIT

2013 Broncos vs. Jaguars:

  • Spread: -28
  • Result: 35-19

It doesn’t take a math major to see the trend here.

In games with the NFL spread greater than 20 points, the underdog is a whopping 7-1 ATS. The 1976 Pittsburgh Steelers were the only team in NFL history to cover a spread greater than 20 points.

History and stats show that the Jets +19.5 is the bet to make here, but that means a bettor would have to trust Adam Gase and Co. to hang within a decent range of one of the best teams in the league.

Those looking to take the underdog and the points here have to ask an important question that could be the deciding factor in this game.