- Aaron Judge has +600 odds to lead the MLB in home runs in 2023.
- Judge broke the AL record for most home runs in a season with 62 in 2022.
- Mike Trout (+800) and Pete Alonso (+900) narrowly trail the reigning champ.
NEW YORK – Aaron Judge is coming off a historic 2022 season where he won AL MVP and broke the AL Home Run record. Judge hit 62 home runs and has +600 odds to league the MLB in 2023.
Considering the 2022 runner-up had 46 home runs, Judge’s narrow odd differential with the competition is surprising.
2023 Home Run Leader Odds
- Aaron Judge +600
- Mike Trout +800
- Pete Alonso +900
- Yordan Alvarez +1000
- Fernando Tatis Jr. +1000
- Kyle Schwarber +1200
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +1200
- Shohei Ohtani +1200
- Austin Riley +1400
- Matt Olson +2000
Aaron Judge is the favorite at +600 to hit the most regular season home runs in 2023. Judge is unlikely to replicate his 2022 season, as there has only been six other 60+ home run performances in MLB history.
But this doesn’t mean his 2022 was a fluke. Judge broke the rookie home run record with 52 homers back in 2017.
Since 2014, there have only been three players to hit for 50 or more home runs in a season. Giancarlo Stanton with 59 in 2017, Pete Alonso with 53 in 2019, and Aaron Judge, who did it twice.
Judge’s large margin of victory for the home run crown last year makes his +600 odds on online sportsbooks valuable.
Value Pick: Yordan Alvarez +1000
Yordan Alvarez has great value at +1000 to hit the most home runs in 2023.
Alvarez only played in 135 games in 2022, leading him to have 100 less at bats than home run leader Aaron Judge. This doesn’t mean that Alvarez would’ve led the MLB in home runs last year if he was injured, but it’s promising that he still hit for 37 home runs in 470 at bats.
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The 6’5 sweet swinging outfielder played a pivotal role in the Houston Astros 2022 World Series run, hitting two clutch home runs in the American League Division Series against the Seattle Mariners.
After crushing a towering shot off lefty-pitcher Robbie Ray in game one, Alvarez slapped a 98 mph outside sinker for a home run the opposite way in game two.
For a lefty hitter that is known for his pull-side power, these are two impressive feats that showcase Alvarez’s tremendous hitting ability.
Yordan Alvarez also hit a 450-foot three-run home run in game six of the World Series that would end up propelling them to a championship.
His clutch gene, towering frame, and big-time power gives his +1000 odds on MLB sportsbooks great value to lead the MLB in home runs in 2022.
Zach is currently a student enrolled at Florida State University. He is majoring in Writing, Editing, and Media with a minor in Communication. He has a passion for sports betting and specializes in DFS for NFL, NBA, and MLB. At the casino, you can find Zach playing Texas Hold’em Poker or roulette.