Line Shopping On UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez

  • Deiveson Figueiredo is favored by anywhere from -270 to -300 odds against Alex Perez.
  • Figueiredo, at 19-1, is the current UFC Flyweight Champion.
  • Perez is ranked fourth in the division and stepped into this match to replace an injured Cody Garbrandt.

LAS VEGAS - UFC 255 is fast approaching, and with the fight card kicking off Saturday, it’s time to look at the main event.

The main event of the evening features Deiveson Figueiredo, the UFC Flyweight Champion, defending his belt against Alex Perez.

Figueiredo is a big-time favorite in the matchup, but there are always edges to be found when shopping lines on UFC fights.

Let’s jump into the matchup, and then discuss some line shopping.

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Alex Perez

Deiveson Figueiredo is a fighter who is relatively new to the UFC scene, debuting in 2017 and rocketing up the ranks.

He won the UFC Flyweight belt against Joseph Benavidez, in their second fight, when he submitted Benavidez in the first round.

Originally, he was set to face off against Cody Garbrandt for this matchup, but Garbrandt was injured in early October, and Alex Perez stepped in.

Perez also made his UFC debut in 2017 and was originally expected to face Brandon Moreno at this PPV.

However, the aforementioned Garbrandt injury left the champion without an opponent, and Perez, ranked fourth in the division, jumped at the opportunity.

It is an opportunity that he doesn’t seem to have a very high chance of cashing in on:

Alex Perez vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bovada)

  • Alex Perez +230
  • Deiveson Figueiredo -300

Bovada’s odds have Perez sitting at +230, while the champion Figueiredo sits comfortably at -300.

As longtime readers of this column would know, this is the part where we transition into a line shopping discussion, so let’s get to it.

Line Shopping On UFC 255

So, Perez is a big time underdog, and Figueiredo is a monster favorite. But where can the best odds be found to wager on each of them?

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Let’s look at three major offshore sportsbooks to find out.

Alex Perez vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bovada)

  • Alex Perez +230
  • Deiveson Figueiredo -300

Alex Perez vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (BetOnline)

  • Alex Perez +230
  • Deiveson Figueiredo -270

Alex Perez vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (MyBookie)

  • Alex Perez +220
  • Deiveson Figueiredo -280

Figueiredo bettors would be best served by BetOnline’s -270 odds on the champion to win the fight. Meanwhile, Perez backers could use either Bovada or BetOnline’s +230 odds on the challenger and feel good about the decision.

Finish Odds

Figueiredo has achieved over 80% of his wins by stoppage, while Perez has achieved 52% of his wins by decision.

Let’s look at the odds for Figueiredo by finish and Perez by decision, the two most likely outcomes for each fighter based on their respective match histories.

Outcome of Match

  • Deiveson Figueiredo by KO/TKO or DQ @ BetOnline -125
  • Deiveson Alcantra Figueiredo Wins Inside Distance @ Bovada -185

These are the same bet, but the BetOnline wager is much more profitable for anyone backing the fists of the champion.

Outcome of Match

  • Alex Perez by Points @ BetOnline +600
  • Alex Perez Wins By 5 Round Decision @ Bovada +550

Similarly, Perez has slightly more beneficial odds for backers at BetOnline, where he is +600 to win by decision, as opposed to +550 at Bovada.

As always, line shopping is an important part of any MMA betting follower's daily routine - or should be.