Line Shopping On UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad

  • Leon Edwards and Belal Muhammad are preparing to faceoff in the main event of Saturday’s UFC Fight Night.
  • Edwards is a big favorite, with odds ranging from -250 to -270.
  • Line shopping can provide bettors with big advantages if they’re willing to use multiple sportsbooks.

LAS VEGAS - Leon Edwards and Belal Muhammad are set to face off in the main event of this UFC Fight Night.

Leon Edwards is the third-ranked welterweight in the UFC, while Belal Muhammad is looking to make a come up at his expense, ranked at 13th in the division.

This matchup seems lopsided in terms of rankings, and the sportsbooks would agree, as they give Edwards a huge chance to win.

However, the degree to which the major online sportsbooks favor Edwards varies depending on the sportsbook, which opens up opportunities for line shopping on this UFC matchup.

Edwards vs. Muhammad Odds @ Bovada

  • Leon Edwards -270
  • Belal Muhammad +210

Edwards vs. Muhammad Odds @ BetOnline

  • Leon Edwards -250
  • Belal Muhammad +210

Edwards vs. Muhammad Odds @ MyBookie

  • Leon Edwards -260
  • Belal Muhammad +200

Line shopping between three of the major online sportsbooks, BetOnline, Bovada, and MyBookie provides the following results:

Edwards moneyline bettors will want to use BetOnline, where Edwards has -250 odds, compared to -270 at Bovada and -260 at MyBookie. Muhammad moneyline bettors will want to use either BetOnline or Bovada, where Muhammad has +210 odds as opposed to +200 at MyBookie.

Line shopping doesn’t stop at the moneyline, however. Let’s check out the finish odds for this fight and see where the best bets are to be found.

Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad Finish Odds Line Shopping

Below, the odds for each method of victory can be found at three different sportsbooks: Bovada, BetOnline and MyBookie.

UFC Fight Night Edwards vs. Muhammad Method Of Victory Odds @ Bovada

  • Leon Edwards Wins By Decision Or Technical Decision +110
  • Belal Muhammad Wins By Decision Or Technical Decision +335
  • Leon Edwards Wins By KO, TKO Or DQ +285
  • Belal Muhammad Wins By KO, TKO Or DQ +800
  • Leon Edwards Wins By Submission +800
  • Belal Muhammad Wins By Submission +1000
  • Draw Or Technical Draw +4500

UFC Fight Night Edwards vs. Muhammad Method Of Victory Odds @ BetOnline

  • Leon Edwards by Points +115
  • Leon Edwards by KO/TKO or DQ +300
  • Leon Edwards by Submission +900
  • Belal Muhammad by Points+325
  • Belal Muhammad by KO/TKO or DQ +850
  • Belal Muhammad by Submission +1000
  • Draw +6600

UFC Fight Night Edwards vs. Muhammad Method Of Victory Odds @ MyBookie

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  • Muhammad By KO, TKO Or DQ +600
  • Muhammad By Decision Or Technical Decision +400
  • Muhammad By Submission +1600
  • Edwards By KO, TKO Or DQ +350
  • Edwards By Decision Or Technical Decision +105
  • Edwards By Submission +1200
  • Draw +5000

Each of these different sportsbooks has slightly different estimations of how the fight will go, and that leads to different odds on each of these wagers.

Anyone who wants to wager on Edwards to win by decision, which he has done in 47% of his wins, finds their best odds among these three at BetOnline, who has it at +115.

For those who wish to wager on Edwards by KO, the best odds are found at MyBookie, which has it at +350. Only 35% of Edwards’ wins come by KO.

Edwards by submission is an unlikely outcome, and the best odds for it are also found at MyBookie, where it has +1200 odds. 18% of Edwards’ wins have been achieved by submission.

Muhammad’s backers will note that his most likely chance comes from a decision victory, with the best odds being found at MyBookie, which has it at +400.

An overwhelming 72% of Muhammad’s wins come via decision, but the problem is that Edwards is arguably a better stand-up fighter, and that could cause problems unless Muhammad manages to overperform.

Muhammad by KO is +850 at BetOnline, which is the most beneficial odds for those who wish to wager on that outcome. 22% of Muhammad’s wins have come via KO.

Muhammad by submission is the least likely outcome outside of a draw, and the best odds on it are found at MyBookie, which has it at +1600. Muhammad has only won one fight by submission.

Shopping lines like this can garner big advantages. For example, while Muhammad by KO is +850 on Bovada, it’s +600 on MyBookie, which indicates that the sportsbooks have very different estimations of how this fight will go.

MMA betting enthusiasts can use this method to gain extra returns on their wagers, and while most gaps are not as significant as going from +600 to +850, they’re pretty significant.

For this fight, it seems like MyBookie has a significantly different outlook on the two competitors than Bovada and BetOnline do, which is an intriguing setup.

Bettors can also explore line shopping at other sportsbooks - and would be well advised to do so, as there are a large amount of excellent sportsbooks to sample in one’s search for the best odds.