March Madness Trends Put #5 Miami On Upset Watch Vs. Drake

  • The Drake Bulldogs are two-point underdogs to the Miami Hurricanes.
  • The 12th seeded team in the NCAA Tournament is a famous underdog betting play.
  • Miami is ranked significantly higher than Drake by KenPom.

LAS VEGAS - The matchup between the fifth seeds and twelfth seeds in the NCAA Tournament has been a fraught one. In the history of March Madness, 12-seeds have defeated 5-seeds 53 separate times, which is as many times as 13-seeds have beaten 4-seeds and 14-seeds have beaten 3-seeds added together.

It’s always worth looking at the 5-12 matchup at online sportsbooks, and the closest of them this year is the matchup of Drake vs. Miami.

Drake Bulldogs vs. Miami Hurricanes Odds

  • Drake +2.0
  • Miami -2.0

Drake won the Missouri Valley Conference championship, and had a 15-5 record in the MVC, while Miami had a 15-5 record in the ACC.

Both teams were close to even against the spread, with Drake going 16-16-1, while Miami went 18-14-1 ATS.

The odds for this game vary depending on the sportsbook you find them at. Most books have it at around Miami -2.0, but it’s been seen at Miami -2.5, which is where the line opened.

Drake enters this matchup on a hot streak, winning nine of their last ten games, and covering the spread in eight of those games.

Miami is coming off of a loss to Duke in the ACC Tournament Semifinals. They have not lost back-to-back games all season.

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KenPom has Miami ranked 40th, with Drake ranked 66th. However, Miami’s adjusted efficiency margin is only a little higher than Drake’s, with 14.84 compared to Drake’s 12.51.

The major discrepancy that the KenPom ratings point out is that Miami is a truly elite offensive team. They’re ranked 12th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, while their defense is ranked at an abysmal 132nd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency.

Drake is more evenly constructed – 98th in AdjO, 44th in AdjD – but Miami’s offense might be the only truly elite unit on the court.

This might be a highlight game in the first round of March Madness 2023. March Madness betting fans can tune in on Friday at 7:25 p.m. EST to watch it.