- The Drake Bulldogs are two-point underdogs to the Miami Hurricanes.
- The 12th seeded team in the NCAA Tournament is a famous underdog betting play.
- Miami is ranked significantly higher than Drake by KenPom.
LAS VEGAS - The matchup between the fifth seeds and twelfth seeds in the NCAA Tournament has been a fraught one. In the history of March Madness, 12-seeds have defeated 5-seeds 53 separate times, which is as many times as 13-seeds have beaten 4-seeds and 14-seeds have beaten 3-seeds added together.
It’s always worth looking at the 5-12 matchup at online sportsbooks, and the closest of them this year is the matchup of Drake vs. Miami.
Drake Bulldogs vs. Miami Hurricanes Odds
- Drake +2.0
- Miami -2.0
Drake won the Missouri Valley Conference championship, and had a 15-5 record in the MVC, while Miami had a 15-5 record in the ACC.
Both teams were close to even against the spread, with Drake going 16-16-1, while Miami went 18-14-1 ATS.
The odds for this game vary depending on the sportsbook you find them at. Most books have it at around Miami -2.0, but it’s been seen at Miami -2.5, which is where the line opened.
Drake enters this matchup on a hot streak, winning nine of their last ten games, and covering the spread in eight of those games.
Miami is coming off of a loss to Duke in the ACC Tournament Semifinals. They have not lost back-to-back games all season.
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KenPom has Miami ranked 40th, with Drake ranked 66th. However, Miami’s adjusted efficiency margin is only a little higher than Drake’s, with 14.84 compared to Drake’s 12.51.
The major discrepancy that the KenPom ratings point out is that Miami is a truly elite offensive team. They’re ranked 12th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, while their defense is ranked at an abysmal 132nd in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency.
Drake is more evenly constructed – 98th in AdjO, 44th in AdjD – but Miami’s offense might be the only truly elite unit on the court.
This might be a highlight game in the first round of March Madness 2023. March Madness betting fans can tune in on Friday at 7:25 p.m. EST to watch it.
Maxwell joined the USAOnlineSportsbooks team in 2019. He focuses on creating sports betting content that informs and educates. He focuses on the NBA, the NFL, College Football and Basketball, and whatever else comes across his desk.