Matt Ryan Has An Unimpressive Record As Home Dog Of 6+ Points

  • The Atlanta Falcons are home underdogs of 6 points against the New England Patriots.
  • The total is set at 47.0 points with -115 odds shading in favor of the UNDER.

ATLANTA – The Atlanta Falcons are home underdogs against the New England Patriots. Since Matt Ryan has been Atlanta’s quarterback, the results in games like these have been very consistent.

Betting The Spread And Moneyline

It seems as if online sportsbooks have the Atlanta Falcons figured out when it comes to making them sizable home underdogs. Those looking to bet on the moneyline can feel confident that the Falcons will not be able to pull off an upset.

Falcons vs Patriots Moneyline Odds

  • Atlanta Falcons +215
  • New England Patriots -260

Atlanta has lost 17 of their last 18 games when an underdog of 6 or more points at home. Plus, the New England Patriots have won each of their last seven games as road favorites of at least six points.

Although the trends are strong, those betting on the NFL may not want to lay the juice.

Patriots vs Falcons Spread Odds

  • New England Patriots -6.0 -110
  • Atlanta Falcons +6.0 -110

Since Ryan was drafted the Falcons have covered the spread in five of their seven games as home underdogs of six or more points., showing that although they often lose, they play better than the odds suggest.

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Plus, New England is 0-2 ATS as 6+ points road favorites since Tom Brady left the franchise.

Betting The Total: O/U 47.0 Points

Under Ryan, in this scenario, the Falcons have only scored more than 20 points once. This has led to the UNDER hitting in six of the seven games that Atlanta is labeled as a 6+ point home underdog with Ryan on the roster.

Falcons vs Patriots Total Odds

  • OVER 47.0 -105
  • UNDER 47.0 -115

The UNDER is seeing some slight shading as New England’s game as road favorites of six or more points as gone 4-3 in favor of the UNDER in the last three seasons as well as 10 times in their last 14 games overall.

History seems to believe that New England will win, Atlanta will cover and the UNDER will cash. Those interested in watching the game can see it on FOX or the NFL Network on Thursday starting at 8:20 p.m. EST.