MLB Best Bets Of The Day – 07/16/2021

  • The Chicago Cubs and Arizona Diamondbacks total is set at 9.0 runs.
  • The San Diego Padres and Washington Nationals Over 9.5 has -105 odds as a betting underdog.
  • The Philadelphia Phillies are +105 underdogs against the Miami Marlins.

LAS VEGAS – The MLB is finally back from the All-Star break and we are blessed with 17 games on the MLB schedule on Friday. Every team is in action with a handful competing in doubleheaders leaving some of the best bets for the day across the MLB.

Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Under 9.0 Runs

There’s no sugarcoating that the Chicago Cubs and Arizona Diamondbacks have been two of the worst teams in the MLB when standing in the batter’s box. The Cubs have been especially underwhelming as the team ranks dead last in the MLB in BA (.204), OBP (.288), SLG (.349), wOBA (.283) and wRC+ (77) over the last month.

Cubs vs Diamondbacks Total Odds

  • Over 9.0 -120
  • Under 9.0 EVEN

The Diamondbacks, while not as poor as the Cubs, aren’t too much better. Arizona has the sixth-lowest BA (.230), seventh-lowest OBP (.304), second-lowest SLG (.351), fourth-lowest wOBA (.290) and second-lowest wRC+ (80) over the last month.

Despite all of this online sportsbooks not only have the total set too high, but they are favoring the wrong side.

San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals: Over 9.5 Runs

The Washington Nationals and San Diego Padres will take the field on Friday as two of the hottest hitting teams in the league. Both teams rank inside the top five in the league in wOBA, SLG, OBP, and batting average over the last month.

Naturally, those betting on baseball would look for a high total in this matchup, but that’s not the case.

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Padres vs Nationals Total Odds

  • Over 9.5 -105
  • Under 9.5 -125

Neither side has exceptional pitching either as Chris Paddack (4-6, 5.38 ERA 1.35 WHIP) and Erick Fedde (4-6, 4.59 ERA, 1.36 WHIP) are the expected starting pitchers. It’s possible that the All-Star break could change things after giving the teams time to reset, but the total is simply too low, especially when compared to the Cubs/Diamondbacks game.

Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies: Game 1 Moneyline

The Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies will kick off a doubleheader on Friday at 4:05 p.m. EST. The Phillies are listed as underdogs in the first game, for reasons unapparent when looking at the numbers.

Marlins vs Phillies Game 1 Moneyline Odds

  • Miami Marlins -125
  • Philadelphia Phillies +105

The only edge would seemingly come from the starting pitching as Matt Moore has a 5.40 ERA and 1.64 WHIP, but the Marlins have been inefficient at the plate against left-handed pitchers this season.

Miami has the sixth-lowest BA (.231), second-lowest OBP (.297), fourth-lowest SLG (.375), lowest wOBA (.292 and third-lowest wRC+ (87) against lefties this year.