Most Popular March Madness Winner Picks + Their Betting Odds

  • The UConn Huskies are the betting favorite to win the 2024 March Madness Tournament with +350 odds and picked to win it all in 26.09% of brackets.
  • No. 1 seeded North Carolina was picked to win in 9.9% of brackets but has longer +1200 odds to win the National Championship.
  • Despite having +2000 odds to win it all, the Iowa State Cyclones are picked to win it all in 4.3% of brackets, the sixth-most of any team in the country.

GLENDALE, Ariz. – Comparing public picks to betting odds can give you an edge for the 2024 March Madness Tournament. Kentucky has +1700 odds at USA online sportsbooks to win the National Championship but is a popular pick amongst the public, winning in 6.4% of March Madness brackets.

National Champion Odds

  • Connecticut +350
  • Houston +550
  • Purdue +700
  • Arizona +1000
  • North Carolina +1200
  • Tennessee +1400
  • Auburn +1500
  • Kentucky +1700
  • Iowa State +2000
  • Marquette +2000
  • Creighton +2500
  • Illinois +3000

North Carolina is the National Champion in nearly 10% of brackets, good for the third-most but they’re the fifth most-likely to win based on betting odds. The Tar Heels’ +1200 March Madness betting odds are longer than Purdue (+700) and Arizona (+1000), but both those teams were less picked to win in brackets.

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Based on the difference between betting odds and public picks, Kentucky and Iowa State are underrated by college basketball betting sites. Check out our table below to see more disparity between bracket picks and betting odds at Bovada for the National Championship winner.

Team Percentage Picked Betting Odds
UConn 26.1% +350
Houston 10.9% +550
North Carolina 9.9% +1200
Purdue 7.6% +700
Arizona 6.6% +1000
Kentucky 6.4% +1700
Iowa State 4.3% +2000
Tennessee 3.6% +1400
Auburn 3.0% +1500
Creighton 2.4% +2500

Betting odds indicate that Tennessee and Auburn have a better chance to win than the public thinks. These two squads were chosen to win in less than 4% of brackets but have the sixth and seventh-shortest odds at Bovada to win it all.