NFL Week 7 Game Trends: Daniel Jones, Buccaneers, Chiefs

  • The New York Giants are +3.0 on the spread at home against the Carolina Panthers.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Chicago Bears total is set at 47.0 points with sportsbooks.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have -110 odds to cover 4.5 points against the Tennessee Titans.

LAS VEGAS – Betting trends can often give an insight as to where sportsbooks are commonly wrong. Heading into Week 7 of the NFL season, a couple of games line up well with potentially exploitable lines.

Daniel Jones Home/Away ATS Splits

The New York Giants will play the Carolina Panthers this weekend at home. Since Daniel Jones has been the starting quarterback in New York, he fares much worse at home than he does on the road. Online betting sites favor Carolina, but probably not by enough.

Giants Vs. Panthers Spread Odds

  • New York Giants +3 -110
  • Carolina Panthers -3 -110

The Giants are just 4-12 ATS at home with Jones under center as opposed to 12-5 ATS on the road. Interestingly, Jones plays much better on the road with a 25-7 TD/INT ratio than on his home field 14-19 TD/INT ratio.

Given this trend, those betting on the NFL may want to side with the Panthers on Sunday. The game will start at 1:00 p.m. EST and can be seen on FOX.

Buccaneers/Bears Opposing Total Trends

There isn’t a scenario that sees a higher average point total than Tampa Bay Buccaneers games at home. Games in Raymond James Stadium are seeing an average of 65.0 points per game. However, the Bucs will play the Chicago Bears who are currently a part of games that total just 37.0 points per game, the lowest in the NFL.

Buccaneers Vs. Bears Total Odds

  • OVER 47.0 -110
  • UNDER 47.0 -110

Ultimately, it’s up to the individual sports bettor to decide which team’s trend will have the most pull in the game, but for what it’s worth, given the spread (TB -12.5) the final projected score is set to be around 30-17. However, both the Buccaneers and Bears team totals have shorter odds on the UNDER.

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Buccaneers And Bears Point Totals

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 30.5 -105
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 30.5 -125
  • Chicago Bears OVER 17.5 +105
  • Chicago Bears UNDER 17.5 -135

The kick-off is set for 4:25 p.m. EST Sunday and will be live to watch on CBS.

Kansas City Chiefs At -4.5 Against Tennessee Titans

So far in the 2021 season, teams favored by 4.5 points are 3-0 against the spread. Dating back to the 2019 season, 4.5-point favorites are 12-6 against the spread. The Kansas City Chiefs are the only team favored by 4.5 points in Week 7 and are so against the Tennessee Titans.

Chiefs Vs. Titans Spread Odds

  • Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 -110
  • Tennessee Titans +4.5 -110

This line could move in either direction, but it should be noted that teams favored by 4.0 points are 0-3 ATS this season. Whether that half-point has a true impact on the game is up for debate but it’s a trend worth noting.

The game will begin at 1:00 p.m. EST Sunday and will air on CBS.