Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s Total Points Set At 22.5 Vs. Denver

  • Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has -106 odds to score Over 22.5 points vs. the Denver Nuggets.
  • The Under is favored with -122 odds while SGA is averaging 24.4 PPG over the last 10 outings.

OKLAHOMA CITYShai Gilgeous-Alexander of the Oklahoma City Thunder see his total points for the matchup against the Denver Nuggets set at 22.5.

Over/Under – Points Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC)

  • Over (22.5) -106
  • Under (22.5) -122

The Denver Nuggets have a defensive rating of 109.8 which is slightly worse than the Memphis Grizzlies 109.0. Shai is coming off of a 24 point outing against Memphis.

The young guard averages 21.6 PPG on the season but has seen his scoring output increase recently, averaging 24.4 PPG over the last 10. Over the last few games, Shai has scored 23 against Memphis, 18 against the Los Angeles Clippers, 33 against the New Orleans Pelicans, and 18 against the Dallas Mavericks.

With how inconsistent his scoring has been, this explains why despite the uptick in his scoring average NBA sportsbooks still have the Under favored.

Where SGA is seeing the Over favored at online sportsbooks is for his assists. Shai averages 4.9 APG this season and sportsbooks set his assist totals at 4.5.

Over/Under – Assists Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC)

  • Over (4.5) -118
  • Under (4.5) -110

Over the last 10 outings, Shai’s assist averages have bumped to 5.3 APG. The Thunder guard also averages 5.1 APG at home.

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Shai has also been inconsistent as a distributor, however. In the last few games, Shai has finished with 4 assists, 6 assists, 1 assist, and 5 assists. His assist numbers also correspond with his scoring, as the only games where he finished with more than 4.5 assists were in his 18 point outings against the Clippers and Mavericks.

Since sportsbooks expect Shai to have a lower scoring night, it makes sense why the Over is favored for his assists. Shai does have two recent games where he had big assist and scoring nights. Shai finished with 26 points and 9 assists against the Toronto Raptors who have a defensive rating of 109.4 and he also finished with 30 points and 13 assists vs. the Detroit Pistons who have a defensive rating of 110.5.

Fans should note that these games are more of an outlier, and Shai has more consistently either put up a lot of points or collected a lot of assists, rarely does he do both.

Shai will face Denver starting at 8 p.m. EST on NBA League Pass.