Shopping Lines for UFC 261 Main Event: Usman vs Masvidal

  • Kamaru Usman odds are listed anywhere between -375 and -450.
  • Jorge Masvidal odds can be found anywhere from +285 to +350.
  • Usman easily beat Masvidal in a title bout less than a year ago.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Kamaru Usman (18-1) will once again put his UFC Welterweight Championship belt on the line this weekend when facing Jorge Masvidal (35-14) in UFC 261. The two fought for the title in July of 2020 when Masvidal stepped up on six days’ notice where Usman completely controlled the fight.

Usman wrestled and grappled Masvidal for nearly the entire fight and cruised his way to an easy 50-45, 50-45, 49-46 unanimous decision victory. Now with a full camp of training, Masvidal will look to avenge his loss. Those looking to bet on the UFC will find varying odds for either fighter.

Kamaru Usman Moneyline Odds

  • Bovada -375
  • MyBookie -420
  • BetOnline -450

Clearly, online sportsbooks have some wavering opinions on how big of a favorite Usman should be.

Bovada provides the most generous odds for Usman bettors, while BetOnline provides the shortest odds.

Jorge Masvidal Moneyline Odds

  • Bovada +285
  • MyBookie +320
  • BetOnline +350

Anyone looking to place a bet on the challenger may be interested in taking a look at BetOnline rather than other sportsbooks.

Jorge Masvidal to Win By KO/TKO/ DQ Odds

  • Bovada +400
  • MyBookie +400
  • BetOnline +400

Let’s call a spade a spade here. The only way Masvidal is going to win this fight is with a knockout. Even if he wasn’t fighting one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the UFC right now, Masvidal has never won a five-round fight by decision or by submission. Further, each of Masvidal’s last five are by knockout.

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If one were to place a bet on the underdog, it would make sense to take the extra value where you can get it.

Kamaru Usman by Decision Odds

  • Bovada -135
  • MyBookie -125
  • BetOnline -130

Although arguably the most likely outcome, betting on Usman to win the fight by decision has some very interesting odds. We’ve seen this fight play out before, and despite claiming short notice as an excuse for the first fight, Masvidal does not have the takedown defense to prevent the fight from going to the mat.

Usman is one of the smartest fighters in the UFC and has never put himself in a position where he doesn’t feel he is in control. He knows that each takedown landed will likely leave Masvidal on his back for the remainder of the round.

Against credentialed wrestlers like Colby Covington and Gilbert Burns, Usman kept the fight on the feet and outclassed his opponents. Against strikers, Usman uses his takedowns and grinds out victories.

Seeing the odds set at or around -130 for Usman by decision might provide the most value of any bet for this fight.

How to Watch

UFC 261 main card will air on PPV through ESPN+ on Saturday, April 24 at the conclusion of the preliminary fights. Prelims will be on ESPN2 and ESPN+ starting at 6 p.m. EST.