Sportsbooks Expect Rodgers To Excel Against Seattle

  • Aaron Rodgers has -114 odds to pass for more than 266.5 passing yards.
  • Rodgers is making his return from the COVID-19/Reserved List against the Seattle Seahawks.
  • The Seahawks are ranked 29th in the NFL against the pass.

GREEN BAY, Wis. - Aaron Rodgers will be active for the Green Bay Packers’ game against the Seattle Seahawks after his vaccination issues caused him to miss last week’s game.

Rodgers is expected to maintain his usual high standard of performance against a porous Seattle defense that is giving up the fourth most yards per game in the air.

Rodgers has shown no symptoms of COVID-19 in the runup to the game, and this has allowed him to make the start as planned. The Packers were nearly useless offensively without Rodgers, as QB Jordan Love passed for only 190 yards and a touchdown - along with an interception - in his first pro start.

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards O/U Odds

  • Over 266.5 -114
  • Under 266.5 -114

Rodgers is averaging 236.8 passing yards per game this season, his lowest since 2007, although not by much. He’s only passed for more than 266.5 yards twice in his eight starts this year, against the Cincinnati Bengals and the Washington Football Team.

Washington is 32nd in the NFL against the pass in terms of yardage, while Cincinnati is 22nd - two teams in the bottom third of the league.

The Seattle Seahawks are ranked 29th in the NFL against the pass, giving up an average of 273.9 pass yards per game.

In other words, they match perfectly the kind of team that Rodgers has hit over 266.5 pass yards against - a bottom 10 pass defenses in the league.

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Aaron Rodgers Passing Touchdowns O/U Odds

  • Over 2.5 +158
  • Under 2.5 -208

Rodgers has an O/U of 2.5 touchdowns in the game according to the online sportsbooks, but the odds are very offset.

Under 2.5 is very favored, which makes a lot of sense in the context of the fact that Rodgers has only passed for more than two touchdowns twice this season. Rodgers has passed for two touchdowns five times this season, so he’s gone over 1.5 seven of eight games, which explains why the NFL betting markets are set at 2.5.

In fact, Bovada appears to be so worried about this that anyone looking to bet on Rodgers to have at least two touchdowns will be forced to do so at -500 odds.

That’s a truly remarkable discrepancy between 2+ and 2.5+ touchdowns, and speaks to Rodgers’ consistency at reaching two passing touchdowns per game.

The Green Bay Packers will take on the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday. The game will be aired on CBS and Paramount + at 4:25 p.m. EST.