Sunday Night Football Best Bets: Buffalo Bills Vs. Kansas City Chiefs

  • The total for the game is set at 56.5 points with -105 odds on the Under.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs first-quarter total is at 6.5 points with a +115 betting line on the Under.
  • Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce could have trouble making big plays against the Buffalo Bills defense.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. – The Kansas City Chiefs will host the Buffalo Bills on Sunday Night Football in what is another great matchup in the early part of the 2021 season.

Best Game Line: Under 56.5 Points

This game between the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs has the highest total of the week and also the entire season. Historically, games with this high of a total go UNDER the mark as last season 16 of the 24 games with a total of 55.0 or more points went UNDER.

Chiefs vs Bills Total Odds

  • Over 56.5 -110
  • Under 56.5 -110

Online sportsbooks are seeing 80% of the handle and 85% of the bets on the OVER, but the line has yet to move. This could be a perfect time to fade the public.

It’s also always been interesting that there’s a total this high with the league’s best defense involved.

Best Game Prop: Kansas City First Quarter Total

Anyone betting on the NFL knows that Patrick Mahomes is one of the best quarterbacks in the league and that he leads a high-powered offense, but he may have met his match against the Bills, at least in the first quarter.

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Kansas City Chiefs First Quarter Total

  • Over 6.5 -150
  • Under 6.5 +115

Buffalo has yet to allow a single first-quarter point this season and the Chiefs total is set higher than their own season average of 6.0 points per first quarter. This would be worth betting on at -115 odds, so getting it at plus-value seems way too good to pass up.

Best Player Prop: Tyreek Hill Longest Reception

Not only is Buffalo not allowing many points, but they’re not allowing any big plays either. The Bills are the only team in the league to not allow a 20+ yard pass on the season.

This will obviously be a clash of strengths as Tyreek Hill has seven receptions of 20+ yards this season, but that’s why the odds are so appealing.

Longest Reception Odds - Tyreek Hill

  • Over 27.5 -115
  • Under 27.5 -115

Betting on Mahomes and Hill to not link up for a big play is rarely a smart idea, but this is one of the few situations in where it could be beneficial. Hill hasn’t been a lock to make big plays this season either, only having a 20+ yard reception in two of his four games.