The 6 Travis Kelce Prop Bets To Take For Super Bowl 55

  • Travis Kelce racked up the second most receiving yards in the entire NFL in 2020.
  • Kelce has +200 odds to catch the first play from scrimmage for KC.
  • Kelce has -165 odds to score at least one touchdown in the Super Bowl.

LAS VEGAS - Travis Kelce is, at this point, the most dominant Tight End in the National Football League.

While it is impossible to separate his accomplishments from the skill of his quarterback and the quality of the players around him, his numbers are undeniable.

Kelce finished the season with the second most receiving yards of any player in the NFL, and the only competitive TE was Darren Waller, who was over 200 yards behind him.

Kelce’s role in the Chiefs offense is fluid, but he’s mostly found catching passes in the intermediate passing game. He averaged 13.5 yards per reception during the regular season on 105 receptions, putting up a 72.4% catch rate.

There are a lot of intriguing props on Kelce’s performance in the Super Bowl, where he will likely be key to unlocking positive matchups on the offensive end for the Chiefs.

Kelce To Catch First Pass For KC: +200

Kelce has +200 odds to catch the first pass play from scrimmage for KC. Kelce was targeted on 145 of Patrick Mahomes’ 588 attempts on the year.

This means that 24.6% of Mahomes’ passes went to Kelce. However, the wager is on whether or not he will catch it, not whether he will be targeted.

Kelce racked up 105 receptions, while Mahomes completed 390 passes. This gives us a roughly 26.9% chance of any given pass play being a pass to Kelce.

The implied probability of +300 odds is 33.3%, give or take the vig. This means that while this wager is mildly poor value, it’s not that far off the actual chances of the event occurring.

Kelce To Record The Most Receiving Yards For KC: +115

Kelce was the Chiefs leading receiver for the year, and recorded 140 more receiving yards than his toughest competition, Tyreek Hill.

However, in the Chiefs’ previous matchup against the Buccaneers, it was Hill who led the team in receiving, with over 200 yards in the game.

It’s also worth noting that Kelce’s O/U for pass yards in the Super Bowl is set at 101.5, while Hill’s sits at around 106.5.

Hill is the major risk when it comes to wagering on Kelce in this category. In both of KC’s playoff matchups so far, Hill has led the team in receiving yards, not Kelce.

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Kelce To Record The Most Receiving Yards Total: +130

What is notable about this wager is that Kelce’s odds to record the most receiving yards in the game are not far removed from his odds to record the most receiving yards on KC.

This is a clear throughline when it comes to reception props in this game. Kelce and Hill are widely regarded as the two players who are in serious contention to lead the game in yards. They are the only two receiving targets on either team who have O/U’s for passing yards over 100 yards, and actually the only two targets with O/U’s over 90 yards as well.

Kelce To Score At Least One TD -165

In his last 20 games, including the playoffs last year, Kelce has scored 18 touchdowns. This includes his currently running streak of scoring at least one touchdown in his last six games.

Kelce has scored at least one touchdown in six of his last eight playoff appearances, and has scored seven touchdowns over his last five playoff appearances.

He’s the preeminent red zone target on the team, and one of the elite intermediate pass catchers in the league. It would be a shock if he was to go scoreless in this matchup.

Kelce To Score At Least Two TDs +350

Two touchdowns, on the other hand, is a very different story. Kelce may be dominant, but two touchdowns is a tough ask from anyone.

Remember that stat about how he’s scored 18 touchdowns in his last 20 games? Only three of those games were multiple TD games.

Kelce is a consistent red zone target and a dominant player in the passing game that the Chiefs run, but he’s not a boom or bust type of player. He consistently gets his yards and usage, and usually picks up a touchdown to go with it, but rarely ends up getting more than one.

Kelce To Have 8 Or More Catches -155

Kelce is favored to have eight or more catches at -155 odds, which is a number he is comfortable hitting.

He’s hit exactly eight catches in seven of his last 10 games, a true target monster. However, in his 11 total playoff games, he’s hit under eight catches in seven of them, and only hit double-digit catches in two of them.

Kelce is one of the best players in the league, and with all of these Super Bowl prop bets at online sportsbooks available on his performance, Super Bowl betting fans can take advantage of his talents.