- The Thunder are favored by 7.5 points in Game 7 against the Pacers.
- OKC has won games by an average of 25 points per game at home this postseason.
OKLAHOMA CITY – The first Game 7 in the NBA Finals since 2016 is set to be played on Sunday, June 22nd at 8 PM EST as the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers will battle for the title in a winner-takes-all game.
Thunder vs Pacers Game 7 Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pacers | +7.5 (-115) | +230 | O 216.5 (-105) |
| Thunder | -7.5 (-105) | -280 | U 216.5 (-115) |
The Pacers continue their unbelievable playoff run winning Game 6 at home in an absolute beatdown by a final score of 108-91. They extended the lead to 31 points at one point in the game.
Online sportsbooks still favor the Thunder at -280 odds to win outright and -105 odds to cover the seven and a half point spread. The Thunder have been favored in every game of the series.
The best bet is for the Thunder to cover the spread. Here’s why:
Margin of Victory
Although it has been a back and forth series with each team winning three games, the majority of games have not been all that close.
Just three games have been determined by single digits and Game 1 was the only game that was within six points or less. The Thunder have won two of the three games played in OKC this series and each of those wins came by double digits.
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The Pacers have continuously been able to defy the odds, but with Haliburton dealing with a calf strain and the pressure of a Game 7 on the road, it is unlikely that they will be able to fend off an OKC team that has been so dominant at home all year.
Home Court Advantage
The Thunder went 35-6 at home during the regular season and have gone 10-2 at home this postseason. In those 12 games, the Thunder have an average point differential of 20.6 points per game and that is including the two losses.
In the 10 games that they have won, they have won by an average of 25 points per game.
The Pacers were 6-2 on the road entering this series but have clearly run into a different beast with this Oklahoma City team, going just 1-2 in OKC through the first three games.
NBA sportsbooks are inclined to predict a close game for viewership and entertainment purposes, but the trends tell us that the Thunder will likely win this game by more than 7.5 points, if not double digits.
Drew is currently a student at Florida State University majoring in Communication / Media Studies. He enjoys playing, watching, reading, and writing about sports. If you need to know anything about football or basketball, Drew’s your guy.
