- Tom Brady has -116 odds to get more than 306 passing yards.
- In two matchups against New Orleans, Brady has not even come close to that number.
- In fact, Brady’s two worst games of the season via QBR were against New Orleans.
NEW ORLEANS - Tom Brady becomes the oldest quarterback to ever start a playoff game Sunday, breaking the record set last week by Tom Brady.
Brady, at age 43, is arguably the greatest quarterback in NFL history, and it’s very hard to bet against him.
Given how hard it is to bet against Tom Brady, many bettors might opt to bet on him in his matchup against the New Orleans Saints. Brady’s Buccaneers are underdogs in the matchup.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.0 (-120)
New Orleans Saints -3.0 (EVEN)
Brady himself is projected for a fairly good day passing the ball by the USA online sportsbooks, which might run counter to how these teams matched up in the regular season.
Brady Passing Yards Props
306+ Passing Yards -116
316+ Passing Yards -102
326+ Passing Yards +108
Brady Passing TDs Props
3+ Or More +110
4+ Or More +231
5+ Or More +793
In the regular season, Brady was held to his lowest quarterback ratings of the season in both games against New Orleans.
In the first game against NO, Brady put up 239 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions, good for a 78.4 QBR per Pro Football Reference.
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The second game the Bucs played against NO was even worse, as Brady put up 209 yards, zero touchdowns and three interceptions en route to a 40.4 QBR.
In other words, Brady’s two worst performances of the season came against this New Orleans defense. However, the last time these two teams matched up was in Week 9, and Brady has been pretty hot in the intervening time.
In the last five games Brady has played, he’s put up QBR’s of over 100 at least.
One thing to note is that many of the teams he played in recent weeks are not known for elite defensive play, however, with the notable exception of the Washington Football Team.
In those five weeks, Brady played against the Falcons twice, the Lions, the Vikings, and the Football Team.
There are two competing hypotheses that could be proposed as to why this is happening:
- Brady is past it, and he’s racking up good numbers against bad teams.
- Brady is roaring into form, and will continue this trend against New Orleans.
NFL bettors will have to figure out exactly which of these two is happening, but the numbers seem to be heavily implying an edge to New Orleans. Brady’s put up his two worst performances of the season against them, and his last five games have been against mostly awful teams.
The numbers are screaming that it’s time to count out Tom Brady. This writer isn’t brave enough to do that, but some NFL betting enthusiasts might be.
Maxwell joined the USAOnlineSportsbooks team in 2019. He focuses on creating sports betting content that informs and educates. He focuses on the NBA, the NFL, College Football and Basketball, and whatever else comes across his desk.
