- Stipe Miocic and Francis Ngannou headline UFC 260 on Saturday.
- Miocic, the Champion, is an underdog to Ngannou on the moneyline, with +110 odds to retain.
- Most of this rests on Ngannou’s legendary knockout power.
LAS VEGAS - Francis Ngannou and Stipe Miocic are set for a titanic rematch for the UFC Heavyweight Championship.
The champion, Miocic, has established himself as perhaps the best UFC Heavyweight of all time, and holds the record for title defenses in the famously hard to predict UFC Heavyweight division.
Ngannou, the challenger, is one of the hardest-hitting men on the planet, a dangerous fighter, but one who’s fallen to Miocic before.
Despite the history between these two men, the powerful hands of Ngannou have him well within contention to win the belt for Miocic.
Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 - Moneyline Analysis And Line Shopping
In fact, Ngannou is actually the favorite to win the matchup on the online sportsbooks.
Stipe Miocic vs. Francis Ngannou Moneyline @ Bovada
- Stipe Miocic +110
- Francis Ngannou -130
Different online sportsbooks will have the fight scored in different ways, and this can definitely come through in beneficial ways for bettors.
Let’s take a look at two further online sportsbooks’ odds on the fight overall.
Stipe Miocic vs. Francis Ngannou Moneyline @ BetOnline
- Stipe Miocic +118
- Francis Ngannou -138
Stipe Miocic vs. Francis Ngannou Moneyline @ MyBookie
- Stipe Miocic +105
- Francis Ngannou -135
The best odds to be found on Ngannou at this fight are at Bovada, where he is sitting at -130, compared to slightly steeper odds at MyBookie and BetOnline.
For Miocic, the best odds are at BetOnline, where he is +118, paying out more than at MyBookie or Bovada.
All three sportsbooks have Francis Ngannou as the favorite, despite the heavily lopsided decision win for Miocic in their first matchup.
Much of this rests on Ngannou’s development as a fighter in recent years - the pair last fought in 2018. In that fight, Ngannou was solidly outclassed, as all three judges scored the fight 50-44 for Miocic.
Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 - Finish Odds Analysis And Line Shopping
By looking at the odds for how the fight will finish, discerning MMA bettors will be able to tell where exactly the sportsbooks believe Ngannou has improved.
Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 - Method of Victory Odds @ Bovada
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- Francis Ngannou Wins By Decision Or Technical Decision +1400
- Stipe Miocic Wins By Decision Or Technical Decision +400
- Francis Ngannou Wins By KO, TKO Or DQ +105
- Stipe Miocic Wins By KO, TKO Or DQ +200
- Francis Ngannou Wins By Submission +2000
- Stipe Miocic Wins By Submission +1600
- Draw Or Technical Draw +5000
These odds lean heavily towards an Ngannou victory by KO/TKO, which speaks to Ngannou’s newfound ferocity.
Ngannou is most famous in the UFC world for his power, but he was also previously well known for his hesitancy. A famous example is his fight with Derrick Lewis, a fight that saw Lewis win in uneventful manner, as the two men barely engaged at all.
However, since that fight, Ngannou has been on the warpath. He’s taken down Curtis Blaydes, Cain Velazquez, Junior Dos Santos, and Jairzinho Rozenstruik consecutively.
Most importantly, he attained all of those victories by KO/TKO via punches - he’s become a finish machine. In three of those fights, Ngannou received a Performance of the Night bonus for excellence.
He’s not just a finish machine, he’s a highlight machine, and the sportsbooks seem to expect Stipe to become one of those highlights.
Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 - Method of Victory Odds @ MyBookie
- Miocic By KO, TKO Or DQ +200
- Miocic By Decision Or Technical Decision +350
- Miocic By Submission +1600
- Ngannou By KO, TKO Or DQ -120
- Ngannou By Decision Or Technical Decision +1400
- Ngannou By Submission +1400
- Draw +5000
When it comes to line shopping, let’s compare between the odds at MyBookie and Bovada.
For those who wish to wager on Miocic by KO, both sportsbooks have it set at +200 odds, and it’s his most likely method of victory. Miocic’s next most likely method of victory is the one he utilized in his first fight with Ngannou - decision. Bovada’s odds are best here, giving him a +400 shot.
Miocic is no submission artist, but it’s on the table at both sportsbooks, and both sportsbooks give it +1600 odds.
Ngannou by KO is an odds on favorite at MyBookie, with -120 odds, meaning that bettors would prefer the +105 odds it has at Bovada.
Ngannou’s odds are mostly wrapped up in his KO power, as his odds of winning by decision are +1400 on both sportsbooks.
Similarly, his odds of winning by submission are long as well. The most rewarding odds are at Bovada, where he has +2000 odds to win.
These odds paint a picture of a fight that will either end up with Miocic on the floor wondering what just happened or with his hands raised after a technical masterclass. Ngannou is a far more dangerous fighter than he was in their first matchup, but Miocic should not be underestimated.
UFC betting fans should look forward to this one - it promises to be one of the most exciting fights of the year.
Maxwell joined the USAOnlineSportsbooks team in 2019. He focuses on creating sports betting content that informs and educates. He focuses on the NBA, the NFL, College Football and Basketball, and whatever else comes across his desk.
