UFC 263 Full Main Card Betting Odds and Picks

  • Israel Adesanya is a -275 favorite to retain his Middleweight title over Marvin Vettori.
  • Brandon Moreno has +175 odds to beat Deiveson Figueiredo in the flyweight title fight rematch.
  • Leon Edwards is listed at -575 against Nate Diaz who comes back at +390 on the moneyline.
  • Belal Muhammad and Jamahal Hill are big favorites over Demian Maia and Paul Craig, respectively.

GLENDALE, Ariz. – UFC 263 is one of the most stacked cards from top to bottom that has been seen in a long time with five fights to cover.

The Middleweight title will be on the line in the UFC 263 main event. Adesanya, the reigning champ, started his career 20-0 before losing his last fight as he jumped up a weight class and tried to win the light heavyweight belt.

Vettori is currently on a five-fight win streak and his last loss came to Adesanya back in April 2018. However, it was a split decision and Vettori has improved greatly since the loss.

He still remains the underdog by a solid margin on sports betting sites.

Adesanya vs Vettori Moneyline Odds

  • Israel Adesanya -275
  • Marvin Vettori +220

The blueprint has been made available on how to beat Adesanya, wrestle, grapple and wear him out with size. Fortunately for Vettori, he has everything he needs to do exactly what Jan Blachowicz did to Izzy back in March.

Adesanya is a kickboxer and his core and has now been exposed in his ground game. Vettori is a wrestler who has nine wins by submission as opposed to his two knockouts and six decisions.

He also has never been finished with all four of his losses coming by decision.

Pick: Marvin Vettori (+220)

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno Flyweight Title Fight

The co-main event will be between Figueiredo and Moreno for the flyweight title. These two fought to a majority draw in December in one of the best flyweight fights of all time.

Figgy was deducted a point for a groin strike which ended up costing him a straight-up win. Figueiredo is a sizable favorite despite the draw just six months ago.

Figueiredo vs Moreno Moneyline Odds

  • Deiveson Figueiredo -220
  • Brandon Moreno +175

Moreno is an absolute warrior in the octagon, but Figgy has proven too dominant to confidently bet against. Plus, it was reported Figueiredo was in the hospital the night before the first meeting between the two. He should be in better shape coming into this one.

Pick: Deiveson Figueiredo (-220)

Nate Diaz vs Leon Edwards Five-Round Non-Title Fight

Nate Diaz and Leon Edwards will fight in the first five-round fight in UFC history that isn’t the main event or title fight on Saturday. Diaz will be making his return to the ring for the first time almost two full years when he lost to Jorge Masvidal.

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Leon Edwards was on an eight-fight win streak before fighting Belal Muhammad which ended in a no-contest due to an eye poke. Edwards is listed as the biggest favorite on the main card on online sportsbooks.

Diaz vs Edwards Moneyline Odds

  • Nate Diaz +390
  • Leon Edwards -575

If Diaz is going to win, it’ll likely need to be by submission. Edwards has a clear striking and kickboxing advantage while Diaz is better on the mat. The fact that this is a five-round fight favors Diaz as he always comes on strong in the later rounds, but recently we’ve seen he tends to start a little too slow.

Even those rooting for Diaz will probably admit this is a tough matchup for him after such a long hiatus.

Pick: Leon Edwards (-575)

Belal Muhammad vs Demian Maia

Demain Maia is one of the best submission artists in the UFC’s history, however, he is 43-years-old now and has lost four of his previous seven fights. It’s rumored this might be his retirement fight.

Muhammad was on a four-fight win streak prior to the no-contest against Edwards and seems to be peaking in his career. Given his form and Maia’s struggles, it’s not surprising Muhammad is the betting favorite.

Muhammad vs Maia Moneyline Odds

  • Belal Muhammad -225
  • Demain Maia +175

It would be nice to see Maia end his career on a win, but Muhammad’s nickname is “Bully” for a reason. Muhammad has great wrestling ability, but due to Maia’s BJJ may try to keep the fight on the feet. Either way, he has more paths to a victory than Maia does.

Pick: Belal Muhammad (-225)

Jamahal Hill vs Paul Craig

In the main card’s opening fight Jamahal Hill will fight Paul Craig. To get straight to the point, UFC betting fans need to look into the underdog in this fight.

Hill vs Craig Moneyline Odds

  • Jamahal Hill -310
  • Paul Craig +240

Hill’s resume doesn’t justify his short odds. His best win is against a 37-year-old Ovince Saint Preux who couldn’t make weight. Meanwhile, Craig is one of the best submission artists in the game right now, having 12 submissions in his 14 wins.

Expect Craig to do whatever he can to take the fight to the ground and work towards a submission. Conveniently, the weakest part of Hill’s game is his takedown defense and ability to get off the mat. Wrestlers tend to fair well against strikers, we’ll see if that trend continues here.

Pick: Paul Craig (+240)