- Jon Jones is favored over Ciryl Gane in his UFC Heavyweight debut.
- Jones hasn’t fought since February 2020, and that was a close win over Dominick Reyes.
- Gane, the underdog, is fresh off of a loss to Francis Ngannou, which was his first MMA loss.
LAS VEGAS - Jon Jones will make his long-awaited return to the octagon in the UFC as he takes on Ciryl Gane for the Interim UFC Heavyweight Championship.
Jones is an undefeated fighter in the UFC with the exception of a DQ, although one of his wins has become a no-contest after positive drug tests. His dominance mostly took place at Light Heavyweight, and it’s unclear if he has the build or stamina for a move up to Heavyweight at this point in his career.
Ciryl Gane is a good opponent for Jones in that sense – he’s a lighter Heavyweight than most in the division, which was put on display in his loss to Francis Ngannou, which was his first in the UFC.
Jon Jones vs. Ciryl Gane Odds
- Jon Jones -170
- Ciryl Gane +140
Jones is favored over Gane, which is intriguing given that Gane has been an active heavyweight fighter, while Jones has been off being tested by God.
Method of Victory Odds – Jones vs. Gane
- Jon Jones Wins By Decision Or Technical Decision +175
- Ciryl Gane Wins By Decision Or Technical Decision +300
- Jon Jones Wins By KO, TKO Or DQ +350
- Ciryl Gane Wins By KO, TKO Or DQ +425
- Jon Jones Wins By Submission +550
- Ciryl Gane Wins By Submission +1600
- Draw Or Technical Draw +6600
Jones is most likely to win by decision, which is the most likely outcome of the entire fight. It’s also Gane’s most likely method of victory.
Gane is a technical fighter who uses his length and athleticism to dance around most other Heavyweights, but Jones is a similar fighter, which is why the online sportsbooks seem to favor this fight going the distance.
Jones has shown his ability to grapple before, but it’s unclear if it holds up at this higher weight class.
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Gane was grappled to a decision loss by Francis Ngannou, but Ngannou had a much bigger size and strength advantage over Gane than Jones will.
That said, the UFC sportsbooks do think that a submission is a possible win condition for Jones – he has +550 odds to do so.
The least likely outcome is a draw, but the fight does seem pretty even. UFC scorecards do not end in draws much, though.
Maxwell joined the USAOnlineSportsbooks team in 2019. He focuses on creating sports betting content that informs and educates. He focuses on the NBA, the NFL, College Football and Basketball, and whatever else comes across his desk.