- UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Hill lists Mackenzie Dern as the favorite to win with -180 odds.
- Angela Hill is a valuable bet at +200 odds to win by decision.
- Mackenzie Dern has lost each of her last two main events by decision.
LAS VEGAS – Mackenzie Dern has -180 odds to defeat Angela Hill in the main event of UFC Fight Night 224. Hill’s experience and statistic superiority give her great value to pull the upset at +150 odds.
Angela Hill’s 15-12 record does not accurately display her abilities as a fighter. Many of her losses were very close fights, with four of those losses going to split decision.
Angela Hill has the advantage on the ground, holding a 29% career takedown accuracy with a 77% career takedown defense. This outmatches Mackenzie Dern’s 11% accuracy and 40% takedown defense.
Hill also holds an advantage on her feet, averaging 2.66 more significant strikes landed per minute with 13% better accuracy. Mackenzie Dern’s -180 odds at UFC online sportsbooks come from her submission success.
Dern has submitted opponents in four of her last seven wins. However, in her Women’s Strawweight-leading 21 total fights, Angela Hill has only been submitted twice.
Hill vs Dern to Go to Decision
The main event of UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Hill is favored to go the distance based on each fighter’s recent bouts.
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Will Dern vs Hill Go the Distance
- Yes -135
- No +105
Angela Hill’s last nine fights have all gone to decision, including going the five-round distance in her last main event. Mackenzie Dern’s last two main events each resulted in a decision loss.
There’s great value at online sportsbooks for Angela Hill to hand Mackenzie Dern her third consecutive main event loss by decision with +200 odds.
Zach is currently a student enrolled at Florida State University. He is majoring in Writing, Editing, and Media with a minor in Communication. He has a passion for sports betting and specializes in DFS for NFL, NBA, and MLB. At the casino, you can find Zach playing Texas Hold’em Poker or roulette.