- Max Holloway has EVEN odds to beat Yair Rodriguez by decision in the main event.
- Khaos Williams and Miguel Baeza’s fight has a -175 betting line to not go the distance.
- Andrea Lee and Cynthia Calvillo to win by decision both have plus-money value.
LAS VEGAS – Prop betting on the UFC can be among the most profitable sports betting strategies. A couple of fights on this weekend’s card have prop bets worth looking into.
Max Holloway Vs. Yair Rodriguez: Holloway By Decision
Max Holloway is one of the greatest fighters in the UFC and potentially the best featherweight of all time. He has -700 odds on online sportsbooks to beat Yair Rodriguez this weekend but has plus-money odds on his method of victory prop bets.
Method Of Victory Odds
- Holloway By Decision EVEN
- Holloway Inside Distance +110
- Rodriguez Inside Distance +750
- Rodriguez By decision +1000
Holloway has 12 wins by finish and 10 by decision, but each of his last five fights has gone the distance. He’s not known for his punching power but has volume that cannot be matched. He holds the UFC record for most strikes landed, most significant strikes landed as well as most head strikes absorbed.
He’s only 29.
Although he’s often in exciting brawls, he simply doesn’t finish his opponents. There’s good value on both Holloway by decision and by way of a finish, but by decision seems just a little more likely.
Khaos Williams Vs. Miguel Baeza: Fight Not To Reach Decision
Khaos Williams and Miguel Baeza will fight one another on Saturday in what could be a quick fight. Baeza is favored in the fight and has finished eight of his 10 professional wins including each of his last three.
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Williams has seven finishes in his 12 professional wins and has knockouts in two of his last three wins.
Fight To Go The Distance
- Yes +135
- No -175
Those betting on the UFC should note that neither of these fighters has ever been finished as the two combine for three losses, all by decision. Regardless, these guys like to finish fights and it’s likely one of the two will find a way to do so.
Andrea Lee Vs. Cynthia Calvillo: Fight To Go To The Distance
Andrea Lee has seen six of her last seven fights go to the scorecards while Cynthia Calvillo has reached a decision in four of her last five fights. However, each fighter to win by a decision has generous odds and can both be bet in hopes to secure a profit.
Method of Victory
- Calvillo By Decision EVEN
- Lee By Decision +190
- Calvillo Inside The Distance +450
- Lee Inside The Distance +475
The moneyline for the bout favors Calvillo with -140 odds with Lee coming back at +115, but the method of victory prop bet brings more value to the table. With both fighters trending towards this fight going the distance, bettors could bet on both to win by decision, breaking even if Calvillo wins and 0.9 units if Lee were to win.
The event will start at 1 p.m. EST on Saturday with the prelims followed by the main card at 4 p.m. EST. The fights can be seen on ESPN+.
Nick got involved with the world of sports at a young age and never turned his back on it. He graduated from Penn State University with a degree in Broadcast/Journalism. In his free time, you can catch him at the bottom of the leaderboards on any video game he’s playing.