UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till Main Event Betting Breakdown

  • The UFC brings yet another card from Fight Island today, headlined by an excellent matchup.
  • Darren Till sets out to defeat number one middleweight Robert Whittaker, and has +105 odds to do so.
  • Whittaker has +200 odds to win by KO/TKO/DQ in the fight, and is an overall favorite.

YAS ISLAND, Abu Dhabi - The UFC is back with a Fight Night headlined by Darren Till’s matchup against Robert Whittaker.

This column will discuss the main event, Robert Whittaker vs. Darren Till, as they battle for middleweight prominence.

Robert Whittaker, a former champion in the middleweight division, is currently the number one ranked fighter in middleweight.

Whittaker took a bad loss to Israel Adesanya the last time he fought, however, and took some time off in order to recuperate.

This is his return fight, and marks his first since that October battle, wherein Adesanya fully outclassed him.

Darren Till, meanwhile, would best be described as a fighter on the rise, with a record of 18-2-1 in his professional career.

Till is a fighter on the rise in more than one sense - he is a former welterweight title contender, and looks to use this fight to move into the same status in the middleweight division.

However, Till’s recent fights have been rocky. He took a tough loss to Tyron Woodley, the welterweight champion at the time, followed by another loss to Jorge Masvidal. This drove him to move up the weight classes, and he now has a shot to make his mark.

Here’s what the odds look like right now on the major online sportsbooks.

Whittaker vs. Till

  • Robert Whittaker -135
  • Darren Till +105

These odds have moved a decent amount since they opened. Only days ago, Whittaker was -120, while Till was -110.

In the three days since, Whittaker has become more and more favored, although not overwhelmingly so.

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The movement makes sense, both as a reaction to money coming in on the known quantity, Whittaker, and as the sportsbooks moving the lines in response to that reaction.

There are some interesting bets to be found on the possible individual outcomes of the fight.

Method of Victory - 5 Rounds

  • Robert Whittaker Wins Inside Distance +170
  • Darren Till Wins Inside Distance +215
  • Robert Whittaker Wins By 5 Round Decision +290
  • Darren Till Wins By 5 Round Decision +315
  • Draw +5500

Both fighters are fighters who can finish, and as such, the fight is expected to end before the five rounds are up.

Whittaker’s odds to win inside the five-round limit are the highest on this odds board, at +170, while Till’s odds to finish the fight sit at +215.

Bettors can even zoom in farther to the specific method of victory.

Specific Method of Victory

  • Robert Whittaker Wins By KO, TKO Or DQ +200
  • Darren Till Wins By KO, TKO Or DQ +215
  • Robert Whittaker Wins By Decision Or Technical Decision +290
  • Darren Till Wins By Decision Or Technical Decision +315
  • Robert Whittaker Wins By Submission +950
  • Darren Till Wins By Submission +2500
  • Draw Or Technical Draw +5500

The two fighters have fairly close odds to win by KO or TKO, with Whittaker at +200 and Till at +215.

However, Till’s odds to win by submission are extremely low. Till has only won 12% of his fights by submission, so this makes some sense.

The fact that the odds are so close across both of these bets represents that the sportsbooks clearly expect that the most likely outcome of the fight is a KO/TKO victory.

These are only some of the wagers that UFC bettors can place on the fight, and there are a lot of fights on the card as well.