- Many divisional matchups give bettors extra information with the number of games played in recent history.
- The Miami Dolphins may continue to cover the spread – even against the Philadelphia Eagles.
- Sunday Night Football features a showdown between Bill O’Brien and his mentor Bill Belichick.
HOUSTON – The primetime game on Sunday will feature two potential division winners in a battle for AFC playoff positioning. However, there are a handful of games that bettors can partake in that will take place beforehand.
By using NFL betting trends, bettors are able to discover how teams have fared in the past compared to their opponents. While it is not an exact science, it leaves less to the imagination and more to statistics supporting the claim.
Betting The 1 P.M. NFL Games
Tennessee Titans Vs. Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis has won the last three contests in this AFC South matchup. With the Colts also covering the spread in their last seven games against divisional opponents, the focus should be on the home team. The Titans have been performing well since the benching of Marcus Mariota, so this is far from a guarantee. As Tennessee has also seen the over hit in their last five games, don’t be surprised to see a higher scoring event.
New York Jets Vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The battle of two subpar AFC teams takes place in Cincinnati. Though the Jets showed out against the Raiders last week, it might have been too much of a victory for the team to keep their focus. The Jets have only won three of their last 18 games on the road, so the potential is there for the Bengals to get their first win. Also, in December, the Bengals have covered six of their last seven games.
Washington Redskins Vs. Carolina Panthers
Carolina has played well as of late, despite the lessened production of Kyle Allen. Still, the team is 6-3 against the spread in their last nine games and the Redskins are on the opposite side of this trend. Covering in only three of their last 10 games, the safe play definitely falls with betting on the home team.
San Francisco 49ers Vs. Baltimore Ravens
On the year, the Ravens covered the spread against Miami in Week 1 and then had a tough challenge beating the US sportsbooks expectations. However, they have turned things back around, going 5-0 against the spread in their last five. As both teams have seen the over hit predominately, the smart play would be to side with this NFL betting trend. San Francisco has hit the over in four out of their last five games, while Baltimore has done the same in six of their last nine games.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
This is one of those games that is better watched than wagered on. As the Bucs are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games and the Jags are 2-5 against the spread in theirs, no betting trend supports either team. Even on the over-under, the sports bettors may be unsure which side to take. The over has hit in all nine of the Buccaneers’ last games while the under has been favorable in seven of the Jags last nine games.
Green Bay Packers Vs. New York Giants
Green Bay is definitely the pick here, as they are 8-3 straight up in their last 11 games. Meanwhile, the Giants are 0-7 in their last seven games. Parlaying the Packers with the under might be the play to combat the high vigorish as well. With Green Bay under bettors hitting in four of their last six games and Giants under bettors hitting in seven of their last 10 against NFC North opponents, there is no reason to expect a high scoring game.
Philadelphia Eagles Vs. Miami Dolphins
At the beginning of the year, this would have been a no-brainer. However, Miami is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games while the Eagles have only covered two of their last six games. No matter which side of the bet you take, look to include the under in the wager as well. The total has gone under in five of the last seven Philly games and Miami has seen the under hit in 11 of their last dozen when playing an NFC East opponent.
Cleveland Browns Vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Though this AFC North rivalry has become more focused on the Myles Garrett situation that occurred last meeting, the football played between these two franchises is generally fairly solid. This matchup is always a battle, as Pittsburgh is 7-2-1 straight up and 4-5-1 against the spread in their last ten games played against the Browns. With Cleveland not having won a road game in Pittsburgh in over 10 meetings, don’t be surprised if this trend gets broken, as they have covered four of the last five games against Pitt.
Betting Sunday Night Football
In between the 1 p.m. EST games and the primetime game, there are three additional games – all of which are divisional matchups. Still, the focus turns to the Patriots and Texans, who are looking to gain an advantage in the plabyoff race. With Houston being 1-4 against the spread in their last five games and the Patriots covering in 11 of their last 15 games, the safe bet would be taking the Patriots. Also, look at the under, as it has hit in four of the last five games that both New England and Houston have played.
Michael spends most of his time betting on over/unders and analyzing algorithms in attempts to beat the book. His focus on statistics comes from an early understanding of mathematics as well as knowledge of opportunity costs. Michael enjoys playing basketball and reading about the NBA whenever he has the free time. When he is not writing, he can be found in Mississippi hitting the sportsbooks and enjoying a margarita… on the rocks, no salt.
