Week 8 TNF QB Props: Tom Brady Vs. Lamar Jackson

  • Tom Brady’s player odds are set at 1.5 total touchdowns and 279.5 total passing yards.
  • Lamar Jackson’s totals are set at 1.5 touchdowns with +112 odds on the over and 210.5 passing yards.

TAMPA, Fla. – On Thursday Night Football in Week 8, Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a rare 1.5-point home underdog to Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens. This is just the third time during his sting with the Buccaneers that Tom Brady will be a home underdog.

Other than the closely set game lines, online betting sites have plenty of props for the Brady/Jackson matchup with odds on each of their passing yard and touchdown totals.

Tom Brady Week 8 Prop Odds

Total Passing Yards – Tom Brady

Totals TD Passes – Tom Brady

While many might salivating at Brady’s matchup against an underperforming Ravens secondary, there is reason to believe that both totals will stay under. Starting with his passing yard total, in his eight career games against Baltimore, Brady has gone 4-4 with the over.

The Ravens secondary has also picked up steam since Week 4 when they played Buffalo as they’ve held every QB since then under 279.5 yards. As a whole though, Brady clearly hasn’t been himself this season either having stayed under a 279.5 passing yard total in four of seven games this season.

On the touchdown side of things, there is some tremendous value for the NFL odds on the under considering that Brady has only thrown for over 1.5 touchdowns twice in his eight career games against the Ravens. His season struggles have also extended here as well as he has stayed under 1.5 passing TDs in all but one game this season.

The Ravens defense has also held all five of seven opposing QBs this season to under 1.5 touchdowns as well.

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Lamar Jackson Week 8 Props

Total Passing Yards – Lamar Jackson

Total TD Passes – Lamar Jackson

Similar to Brady, Lamar Jackson has also struggled not only this season, but in games against Brady as well which give reason to push towards the under on both props that Bovada has to offer. In his two career games against Tom Brady, Jackson has not only stayed under the 210.5 passing yard mark both times, but he is yet to break 175 passing yards against him.

In his seven games this season, Lamar has gone just 3-4 against a 210.5 total. As for the Bucs defense, they have also been on a tear averaging just 190 passing yards allowed per game to opposing QBs this season. They have held opposing QBs under 210.5 yards in five of seven games this season and have also held their last three to under 200 yards.

Looking at his touchdown total, there is a reason that the under is favored and backing that is that he has stayed under in his last four outings. He also stayed under in both of his career games against Tom Brady.

The Buccaneers defense has also let just three of seven QBs to go over this season. Something else to keep an eye on is that both Rashod Bateman and Mark Andrews have been DNP and are listed as questionable for Thursday’s matchup.

Value On The Under

With all trends leaning towards Brady and Jackson having a troubled game on Thursday, now would be the best time to get in on the under for the 45-point total that is set. Both teams have also been trending that way all season long as the Buccaneers have stayed under 45 points in six of seven games this season while the Ravens have stayed under in five of seven games.