- Manchester City comes into this game vs Liverpool as a -160 moneyline favorite and is favored by one goal.
- Liverpool has massively struggled after last year’s resounding success, now finding themselves outside of the top five in EPL standings.
- Manchester City has been on fire in their last five games, going undefeated across three different competitions and outscoring their opponents 19-0.
MANCHESTER – Manchester City will look to host their historic rival Liverpool for their fourth total meeting this season. Over their last five games City has played immaculately and have dominated their opponents while Liverpool has struggled mightily compared to last year and are fresh off back-to-back losses.
The rivalry’s history in recent years has however trended towards Liverpool, as they have won three of the last five games and tied one against Manchester City. Despite this, online betting sites have listed Liverpool as big +420 underdogs.
Manchester City vs Liverpool Odds
- 3-Way Money Line: Manchester City (-160), Draw (+320), Liverpool (+420)
- Spread: Manchester City -1.0
- Total: 3.0 Goals
A Tale of Two Seasons
When Liverpool set the world ablaze last year, finishing second in the EPL while also winning the FA Cup and League Cup, few in the football world expected the downfall they have had this year.
Coming into Saturday’s match vs Manchester City, the Reds now sit in just sixth place and are coming off a terrible last five games where they lost to 19th place Bournemouth and tied against 12th place Crystal Palace. Outside of the EPL, they lost a 1-0 game against Real Madrid which led to their exit from the Champions League.
On the other hand, Manchester City has absolutely dominated their competition, winning five games straight and scoring 19 goals while shutting out each of their last five opponents. With just under two months to go, the Citizens will look to make a push at the top EPL spot that Arsenal is holding with an eight-point lead.
Top Prop for the Match
The history of these two teams facing off against each may immediately lead the public towards playing the huge +420 odds money line for Liverpool, however, the huge step back they have taken this season is very worrisome and makes this bet a difficult choice despite its value.
Yet, there is something else in the match history that stands out, mainly as it relates to the total of three. In the last 10 matchups between Manchester City and Liverpool, the total score has been four or higher in a whopping eight of them. This likely makes the total over the best prop available in the matchup at a nice +105 odds.
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This is also true because despite Liverpool’s disappointing year, they still sit at fifth in the EPL for total goals scored on the season (47), with Manchester City claiming the top place at a massive 67 goals.
There is also the possibility that Manchester City reaches four goals alone, as their incredible hot streak has seen them score four or more goals three times across six straight wins. Another intriguing option is to use an alternate line of over 3.5 goals for the total, which nets great +152 odds but does not have the safety of a push for three total goals being scored.
Regardless, the top bet found on online soccer sportsbooks is either the total of 3.0 at +105 odds or an alternate total of over 3.5 for a boosted +165 odds, which has been supported by the recent matchups between the two teams as well as Manchester City being absolutely on fire as of late.
Jeremias began writing 4 years ago after beginning his career at Florida State University. He mainly focuses on using analytics and statistics to educate readers on trends and discoveries to get a leg up on sportsbooks. He mainly focuses on NFL, NHL, and NBA. During his free time, you can find him researching, writing, and betting on various sports.