- Heading into week seven of the XFL season, the undefeated D.C. Defenders will face the winless Orlando Guardians
- Already being over halfway through the season lets us see how these teams’ identities have shaped up
- The Defenders have opened up as 10-point favorites and with a -500 money line
ORLANDO, Fla. – With the XFL being in the final four games of the season, week seven has inevitably brought us the most lopsided matchup possible record-wise. The undefeated, 6-0 D.C. Defenders are 10-point favorites vs the winless, 0-6 Orlando Guardians.
The Guardians have been putting up a much better fight in their recent games, losing the last two weeks by a combined 10 points. Still, their performances against top teams have been far from good, leading to online betting sites listing the Defenders as -500 odds money line favorites.
Defenders vs Guardians Odds
- Money Line: DC Defenders (-500) vs Orlando Guardians (+360)
- Spread: Defenders -10.0
- Total: 45.5
Top Bets for the Best vs Worst Matchup
With player props not yet available, the pickings are slim in terms of value, especially since the game is a lopsided affair.
The money line in particular offers no real value at a massive -500, though it may have some appeal if included in a parlay alongside other picks for a slight boost in payout given that the Guardians winning is a tall task.
In terms of the spread, there are conflicting narratives but D.C. -10.0 does appear to be a solid wager. Despite the Guardians only losing their last two games by seven and three, they have fared much worse against the better teams in the league.
Namely, they have been horrible against the Houston Roughnecks, who started out undefeated through the first four weeks of the season before losing to the Seattle Sea Dragons and Defenders.
Assuming that the Roughnecks are the closest team to the Defenders, the spread does show some promise as the Guardians lost to Houston twice by 28 and 21. This bodes well especially because the Defenders are on fire on offense, scoring 28 or more points in four straight weeks.
Throughout the season the Defenders also held their opponent to under 20 points in four out of seven weeks. This includes some of the more impressive offenses like the St. Louis BattleHawks as well as the Seattle Sea Dragons.
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Handicapping It All
All of this combine to making the D.C. Defenders -10.0 spread the likely best bet available for the game, with the -500 money line being a possible parlay leg. In terms of the total, the track record of each team does give the over some intrigue.
With the total being 45.5 on most XFL online sportsbooks, there is a worry that a defensive game from the Defenders or a meltdown by the lowly Guardians could lead to the under. However, the recent games by both of these teams seems to point towards the over being a better bet.
On the year, the Defenders’ matches have totaled 46 or more points in four straight, while going under in the first two weeks. The Guardians however only have two games going over during the season, but did have two games end with a 45 point total exactly.
This all makes the total a tricky wager, but would likely lean towards the over as the Guardians tend to allow many points and have on multiple occasions reached 45+ points for the match while scoring less than 20 themselves.
Jeremias began writing 4 years ago after beginning his career at Florida State University. He mainly focuses on using analytics and statistics to educate readers on trends and discoveries to get a leg up on sportsbooks. He mainly focuses on NFL, NHL, and NBA. During his free time, you can find him researching, writing, and betting on various sports.