Can Josh Allen Exploit The Jags Defense To Hit His Totals

  • The Buffalo Bills are 14.5-point road favorites over the Jacksonville Jaguars.
  • Josh Allen has -115 odds to pass for more than 286.5 yards in the game.
  • Allen has hit that total against three teams with bottom 10 pass defenses in the league.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. - The Buffalo Bills go on the road to Jacksonville to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday, and the game is set to kick off at 1:00 p.m. EST.

The Bills are a top team in the NFL, while the Jaguars reside at the bottom, and this is predicted to be the most lopsided game of the week by sportsbooks, who have favored the Bills by 14.5 points on the road.

Much of that is due to the prowess of Bills QB Josh Allen, who will be in the spotlight against a mediocre Jags defense giving up 386 total yards per game.

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop Odds

  • Over 286.5 -115
  • Under 286.5 -115

Allen has passed for more than 286.5 yards in three of his games so far, and has failed to meet that number in the other five.

He’s averaging 281.7 yards per game, just under this O/U, but it seems as though his passing yards tend to come in bursts. The teams against which he passed for more than 286.5 yards are the Washington Football Team, the Kansas City Chiefs and the Tennessee Titans.

NFL betting fans should know that these teams are some of the worst defenses in the league. They are ranked 30th, 25th and 24th in the NFL against the pass. The Jacksonville Jaguars are ranked 28th.

In other words, the Jags are exactly the kind of opponent that Allen has excelled against - a bottom 10 passing defense in the league.

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Josh Allen Passing Touchdowns Prop Odds

  • Over 2.5 +145
  • Under 2.5 -195

Allen has accounted for 17 passing touchdowns in his eight games, so he’s averaging below the online sportsbooks projections for this game.

He has three games in which he’s passed for more than 2.5 touchdowns this season, and those three games should be no surprise: they came against the Washington Football Team, the Kansas City Chiefs and the Tennessee Titans.

Washington is 31st in passing touchdowns allowed, while Kansas City and Tennessee are tied at 22nd.

The Jaguars, despite being ranked 28th in passing defense in terms of yardage, are 12th in passing touchdowns allowed. This is perhaps a quirk of the stats - they’re 30th in rushing touchdowns allowed, so it seems possible that they have simply allowed rushing touchdowns in the red zone instead of passing touchdowns, and that one can still expect Allen to perform.

Allen has torn apart bad defenses this year, and he will look to do so again against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

The game kicks off at 1:00 p.m. EST and will be broadcast on CBS and NFL Network.