- The San Francisco 49ers ride an 11-game win streak where they went 9-2 ATS
- The Dallas Cowboys have also been spread killers, going 11-7 ATS this season
- When favored by four or less points the 49ers are 4-2 in record and ATS
SAN FRANCISCO – The San Francisco 49ers are favored by online sportsbooks at three and a half points, making it five straight games with that spread or greater.
The 49ers have been the hottest team in the NFL by far over the second half of the season, finishing fifth in points per game and first in points allowed per game. The Dallas Cowboys similarly finished the season ranked fourth in points per game and fifth in points allowed per game.
49ers vs Cowboys Odds
- Money line: 49ers (-185) vs Cowboys (+160)
- Spread: 49ers -3.5
- Total: 46.0
Can Anyone Stop Purdy and Shanahan?
Despite Kyle Shanahan’s 1-2 record against the Cowboys as a head coach, the 49ers won their most recent matchup in last year’s Wild Card round 23-17. The emergence of Mr. Irrelevant rookie Brock Purdy has taken the 49ers offense to a new level as of late and it doesn’t seem like any team is well equipped to handle all their weapons.
Since Brock Purdy was thrusted into action against the Miami Dolphins, the 49ers have gone 7-0, scoring 33 points or more in all but one game and finishing the season with a four-game stretch of 37 or more points. In those seven games with Purdy, the 49ers have a huge average winning margin of 16.4 points.
To put that insane streak into reference, the NFL’s leader in points per game, the Kansas City Chiefs, scored 37 or more points just three times all season. The Chiefs similarly were unable to replicate any streak as dominant as the 49ers, scoring 30+ points on a season-high of just two straight games.
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Do the Cowboys Have a Chance?
Online sportsbooks have the Cowboys listed at +160 odds to win outright, bettors bullish on the Cowboys could find some value here but will need a big effort from their offense and defense alike to take down arguably the NFL’s most talented team.
The Cowboys have not been nearly as consistent at overpowering their opponents; however, their offense has been as explosive as any other in the NFL since the return of Dak Prescott, with four games of 40+ points, one of those being a 54-point masterclass against the Indianapolis Colts.
Dallas’ defense will be charged with the monumental task of slowing down Shanahan, and have fared well in their three total games, allowing 22 points per game. While it is certainly possible to continue this trend, the combination of Christian McCaffery, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and Brock Purdy may prove to be too much for a team that has let up an average of 25.4 points over their last five games.
San Francisco 49ers money line (-185)
Jeremias began writing 4 years ago after beginning his career at Florida State University. He mainly focuses on using analytics and statistics to educate readers on trends and discoveries to get a leg up on sportsbooks. He mainly focuses on NFL, NHL, and NBA. During his free time, you can find him researching, writing, and betting on various sports.