Betting on Houston to Win but Northern Kentucky to Cover

  • Houston is an 18.5-point favorite against Northern Kentucky for the first round of March Madness.
  • While Houston is heavily favored, they have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six.

BIRMINGHAM, Ala. – The Houston Cougars are starting their March Madness journey against the Northern Kentucky Norse and the one-seeded Cougars are one of the biggest favorites of the day. While Houston does have the top seed in the Midwest, they failed to win the AAC, thanks to a red-hot Memphis team.

Houston and N. Kentucky Game Lines

Moneyline: Spread: Total:
Houston -4000/N. Kentucky +1200 Houston -18.5/N. Kentucky +18.5 Over 121.5/Under 121.5

Is It Worth Taking Houston’s ML?

As such a heavy favorite, bettors in the US would only profit $2.50 from a $100 wager at online sportsbooks from Houston’s moneyline. These odds would require large stakes to even start to see a decent profit, making the ML not the best bet for this game, unless using it to add more substance to a parlay.

Houston has gone 31-3 when playing as the favorite this season, while Northern Kentucky has gone 2-6 straight up.

Betting on NKU to Cover

Northern Kentucky being a large underdog creates opportunity at online March Madness sportsbooks, with the Cougars having an 18.5 spread to cover. Out of their 12 total losses, NKU has lost five games by a minimum of 18 points.

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When playing as the underdog, Northern Kentucky has gone 3-5 ATS and 14-18 in all games. Houston has covered in 18 of their 34 games played as the favorite during the 2022-23 season. A wager on Northern Kentucky to cover would profit $90.91 from $100.

Betting on NKU to cover is a great bet for the first round of March Madness as the Cougars do not have the momentum of winning the AAC and have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games.