Betting On the Number One Seed in the NFC

  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have +300 odds to be the number one seed in the NFC.
  • The Dallas Cowboys and Green Bay Packers are next on the odds boards at +500.
  • The Cowboys are a big outlier here compared to the Eagles at +1600.

LAS VEGAS – The NFL season kicks off on September 8, and at this point, rosters are likely set, and no major shake ups are expected to the odds until games start.

The NFC’s number one seed will receive a bye in the 2022-23 playoffs, a valuable position to hold – and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers sit atop the Number One Seed odds boards.

NFC Conference Number One Seed Odds

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +300
  • Dallas Cowboys +500
  • Green Bay Packers +500
  • Los Angeles Rams +650
  • San Francisco 49ers +900
  • Arizona Cardinals +1200
  • Minnesota Vikings +1500
  • Philadelphia Eagles +1600
  • New Orleans Saints +2000
  • Washington Commanders +2000
  • New York Giants +3300
  • Chicago Bears b
  • Carolina Panthers +8000
  • Atlanta Falcons +10000
  • Detroit Lions +10000
  • Seattle Seahawks +10000

Tampa Bay Buccaneers, +300 Odds to Be Number One Seed

The Buccaneers are the favorite to win the Super Bowl out of the NFC, and so it does make sense that they’d be the favorite to be the number one seed.

However, the Bucs have one other advantage in terms of seeding – a very weak division.

The NFC South features only the Saints as a reasonable contender against the Bucs – and the Bucs are -250 to win the division.

Note that the Saints are also on this list, just at +2000 – both they and the Bucs are regarded as likely to beat the Panthers and Falcons when they face off.

Dallas Cowboys, +500 Odds to Be Number One Seed

The Cowboys are in this spot due to divisional weakness and hype. At +500, this is the definition of a bad bet.

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The Cowboys are barely favored by online sportsbooks to win their own division, with +145 odds to do so, while the Philadelphia Eagles are just behind with +155 odds.

This would logically dictate that the two teams should be in a similar spot in terms of first seed odds, but instead, the Cowboys are at +500 while the Eagles are at +1600.

The NFC East may be bad, but the Cowboys are being overrated here – they should be closer to the Eagles than the true favorites.

Green Bay Packers, +500 Odds to Be Number One Seed

The list goes back to chalk with the third team, the Green Bay Packers. The Packers have -190 odds to win the NFC North, and +400 odds to win the NFC Championship Game.

The pattern, at this point, becomes clear. Good – or at least popular – teams with weak divisions will dominate the Super Bowl odds for the number one seed.

The Packers certainly fit the bill, as the Lions and Bears are not in contention for the division. Their first game against the Minnesota Vikings on September 11, could be a bellwether for this bet – if the Packers win, it’s likely smooth sailing.