Daily Sports Betting Preview 3/12/2021: ACC Tournament, PAC-12 Tournament, Players Championship Three Ball

  • The North Carolina Tar Heels are +110 underdogs against the Florida State Seminoles.
  • The Colorado Buffaloes have -120 odds to defeat the Southern California Trojans.
  • The second round of the Players Championship features unique three-ball betting opportunities.

LAS VEGAS - Welcome to this Friday edition of the Daily Sports Betting Preview!

This Preview kicks off with a look at the college basketball matchup between the North Carolina Tar Heels and the Florida State Seminoles. Then, the Colorado Buffaloes take on the Southern California Trojans. Finally, the PGA’s Players Championship features several intriguing three ball betting odds.

There’s a lot to cover, so let’s get started.

ACC Tournament Betting

The ACC Tournament has been shaken up by COVID-19, with the Duke Blue Devils eliminating themselves after a positive COVID-19 test before their game against the Florida State Seminoles.

The Seminoles don’t gain much in terms of days off, however, as they’re set to face off against the UNC Tar Heels.

UNC vs. Florida State Moneyline

  • UNC +110
  • Florida State -130

Florida State finds themselves favored on the moneyline, which is reasonable considering their performance this year.

One aspect of Florida State’s unique season is that they’re perhaps the best team in college basketball when playing at home.

However, for the rest of the season, there will be no home-court advantage for Florida State, as the ACC Tournament takes place in Greensboro, NC, and the NCAA Tournament is set to take place in Indiana.

The delta between FSU’s performance at home and away is notable, as the Seminoles are 12-1 at home and 4-4 on the road.

Neutral site games throw a wrench into this otherwise predictable team’s odds.

UNC vs. Florida State Spread

  • UNC +2.5 (-110)
    Florida State -2.5 (-110)

The spread is fairly close in this matchup, and once again, FSU’s performance seems to depend on whether they’re at home vs. away.

At neutral sites, the Seminoles have covered the spread in 11 of their last 18 games, so there is some precedent for good performance when both teams are playing away, effectively.

The Tar Heels, meanwhile, have covered the spread in only six of their last 21 games at neutral sites.

While this is not a home game for FSU, perhaps they can glean a similar advantage simply from it not being a home game for UNC either.

College basketball bettors have an intriguing matchup on their hands, made all the more intriguing by Florida State’s unique home/road splits.

PAC-12 Tournament Betting

Over on the other coast, the PAC-12 Tournament features a matchup between the third and the second seed as Colorado faces off against USC.

The Buffaloes enter this matchup with a 21-7 overall record, but it’s worth noting that, like FSU, their home/road splits are tough to ignore.

At home, the Buffaloes are 15-1, but on the road, they’re 6-6, and it’s unclear to what degree the neutral site influences their performance.

The Trojans have a similar split problem, but it’s more about the spread, where they’re 10-5 against the spread at home and 16-12 against the spread overall.

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The neutral-site combined with how close these teams appear to be in terms of performance makes this a truly intriguing matchup.

Colorado vs. USC Moneyline

  • Colorado -120
  • USC +100

Despite being the third seed in the PAC-12 tournament, Colorado is actually ranked one spot higher than USC by the AP Poll.

Colorado’s slightly higher ranking has been borne out on the moneyline, where they are mildly advantaged to win this game on the online sportsbooks.

The spread is similar, and it’s very close.

Colorado vs. USC

  • Colorado -1.5 (-110)
  • USC +1.5 (-110)

From one perspective, USC bettors can buy 1.5 points for the low cost of moving from +100 to -110.

From another, a return reduction of that magnitude is not justified by the move, which only allows USC the ability to lose by one point and still cover.

March Madness betting fans will want to take a long look at how they wish to approach this unique PAC-12 matchup.

Golf Betting

The Players Championship features some of the most elite golfers in the world, and three ball betting is an excellent way to take stock of their matchups against each other.

The first matchup the Preview will be looking at today features some big names in golf, who consistently put up solid performances.

Players Championship 2nd Round 3 Ball Odds - T. Hatton / P. Casey / X. Schauffele

  • Xander Schauffele +140
  • Tyrrell Hatton +190
  • Paul Casey +200

Xander Schauffele shot a +4 in the first round of the Players Championship, and he’ll look to rectify that round in Round 2.

Schauffele is the fifth-ranked golfer in the world according to the OWGR, and it seems unlikely that he’ll stay down for long. Tyrrell Hatton also performed poorly, shooting a +4 along with Schauffele, while Paul Casey outperformed them both with a +1 in the first round.

However, Schauffele and Hatton are both set to beat out Casey in round two, owing to their generally higher level of play. Schauffele is a +140 favorite, which puts him as a notable favorite over both Hatton and Casey, and Hatton at +190 is an intriguing wager.

Players Championship 2nd Round 3 Ball Odds - V. Hovland / P. Cantlay / J. Thomas

  • Justin Thomas +140
  • Viktor Hovland +190
  • Patrick Cantlay +200

The next wager on the board features Justin Thomas, one of the top five golfers in the world, along with two other elite golfers in Viktor Hovland and Patrick Cantlay.

Thomas is ranked third by the OWGR, while Hovland is 13th and Cantlay is ninth. However, the gap between Thomas and Cantlay in terms of average points is nearly two full points, while the gap between Cantlay and Hovland is around one.

Thomas shot a -1 in the first round of the tournament, while Cantlay shot a +2 and Hovland put in a par performance.

It seems hard to envision a world where Thomas at +140 in this group is a worse bet than Schauffele at +140 in his group, given how poorly Schauffele performed in Round 1.

That said, the competition in Thomas’ group is more difficult, and if one is willing to write off Schauffele’s bad first round performance as a fluke, he becomes an attractive wagering opportunity for golf betting fans.

Good luck!