Daily Sports Betting Preview 5/12/2020: PDC Home Tour and Star Wars Betting

  • On the PDC Home Tour, Mike DeDecker (-220) is favored against Martin Atkins.
  • Disney+’s Obi-Wan Kenobi series only has +150 odds to be released before the end of May in 2022.
  • There are high expectations for the second season of The Mandalorian, with -120 odds on either side of a bet for it to get over or under 92% on Rotten Tomatoes.

LONDON, U.K. - Today’s edition of the Daily Sports Betting Preview shakes up the format a little bit.

Instead of the normal way this column is written, focusing on three separate betting opportunities across the sports world, this edition will focus primarily on entertainment betting in the form of various Star Wars related bets.

However, the Preview wouldn’t be the Preview if it didn’t discuss some sports betting opportunities as well, and so it will start out with a discussion of the betting opportunities provided by the PDC Home Tour, the current darts competition running in England.

PDC Home Tour Betting

The PDC Home Tour evolved out of the PDC Tour as a response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The basic idea is that instead of going to venues and playing matches of darts, the players would simply play from home, and livestream their play.

This is, in some respects, an elegant solution to a tough problem, and the PDC should be commended for coming up with it and implementing it so quickly and efficiently.

There are six matches on the Home Tour today, and one of them stands out as an excellent betting opportunity.

This, of course, is the match between Mike DeDecker and Martin Atkins, the second match of the day on the PDC Home Tour.

Part of the reason this match is interesting is that there are slightly different odds on it depending on which sportsbook is being used.

At Bovada, DeDecker is -220 on the moneyline, while Atkins is +165. On the spread, DeDecker -1.5 has -125 odds, while Atkins +1.5 also has -125 odds.

Meanwhile, at BetOnline’s sportsbook, DeDecker is -225, while Atkins is +195 on the moneyline. The spread is also a bit different, with DeDecker -1.5 having -110 odds, while Atkins +1.5 has -120 odds.

So what does this all mean? Well, it shows the value of shopping lines.

If a bettor wanted to bet on DeDecker’s moneyline, they would want to use Bovada’s sportsbook, which has -220 odds for that bet compared to BetOnline’s -225.

If a bettor wanted to bet on Atkins’ moneyline, they would want to use BetOnline’s sportsbook, where Atkins is +195, a notable increase over his +165 odds at Bovada.

As far as the spread, both sportsbooks have it set as +/- 1.5, but the shading can make it more profitable to use one of them over the other.

If a bettor wanted to place a bet on DeDecker -1.5, BetOnline’’s sportsbook offers that bet at -110, compared to Bovada’s -125.

Similarly, if a bettor wanted to place a bet on Atkins +1.5, that bet has slightly more profitable odds at BetOnline, where it is -120, than at Bovada, where it is -125.

Overall, the PDC Home Tour is an excellent betting opportunity for any dedicated sports bettors - but one where shopping lines is especially important.

Star Wars Betting

Star Wars Day (May the Fourth) is only a week past and the major online sportsbooks are still providing several bets on the future of the series.

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There are a couple of interesting places to start, and most of them involve the television series’ rumored to be in production at Disney+.

First, there are odds on when the Obi-Wan Kenobi series will be released. This is a series that has long been rumored to be in production, but has hit several snags, and is now in doubt.

Here’s what the odds look like:

Obi-Wan Kenobi Disney+ series release date:

  • After May 31, 2022 -200
  • Before May 31, 2022 +150

Right now, things are not looking great for the series if you trust the odds given on the major online sportsbooks.

The series looks like it will take a long while to be completed and released, given that it has -200 odds to be released after May 31st, 2022, and only +150 odds to be released before then.

Two years is a long time in the entertainment business, and anything can happen in that time, but the sportsbooks seem to be down on the prospect of this series releasing.

The Mandalorian was one of the most universally praised pieces of media to come out of the Star Wars universe after the Disney acquisition.

Right now, the first season of the show has a 93% rating on Rotten Tomatoes, signifying widespread acclaim.

There are betting odds for how well the second season of the show will do there as well:

The Mandalorian Season 2 average Tomatometer:

  • Over 92% -120
  • Under 92% -120

Expectations seem to be very high for the second season of The Mandalorian. Effectively, this bet is set up like an Over/Under bet, except in this case, the Over/Under line is set at 92% on Rotten Tomatoes.

Both sides of the bet have -120 odds, so this is effectively a gut call, one based on whether bettors think the show will improve or decline in the second season.

It is important to keep in mind that the first season of the show only barely exceeded that mark, with a 93% rating on Rotten Tomatoes.

Overall, today looks to be a great day for bettors around the galaxy.

May the force be with you!