- Dak Prescott’s over 1.5 passing touchdowns prop features great -109 odds
- Dak has gone over his 243.5 passing yards (-114) prop in 8/12 games this season
- The Buccaneers allow the 2nd most passing touchdowns this season
TAMPA BAY, Fla. – Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys take on the underdog Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the Wild Card round of the NFC playoffs.
Prescott has performed admirably since returning from injury and NFL betting sites have set various player props, including passing touchdowns (1.5) and passing yards (243.5) that savvy bettors can find value in for the overs at -109 and -114 respectively.
Tampa Bay Defense is a Sneaky Good Matchup for Dak
Dak has been on fire to end the season, throwing for 10 touchdowns in the last 5 games as well as throwing for at least 2 touchdowns in 8 of his 11 games since returning from a hand injury.
Despite ranking slightly above average as a pass yardage defense throughout the season, the Buccaneers defense has an Achilles’ heel: they let up a ton of touchdowns.
The Bucs come into this game allowing the second most passing touchdowns in the league with 29, trailing only the Kansas City Chiefs at 33.
At a strangely great value of -109 odds, Prescott’s 1.5 passing touchdowns prop has offered consistency throughout the season, and there is little reason to suspect that will change.
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Dak Dominates in Close Spreads
Coming into the game favored by 2.5 points, Dak and the Cowboys will look to continue their trend of strong passing performances in games where they are slightly favored. The QB’s 243.5 pass yards prop has been consistently going over (-114) all season.
Across 4 games this year where the Cowboys were favored by 4 or less points with Dak as the starter, he averaged: 24.75 completions, 34 pass attempts, 286 passing yards, and 2.75 touchdowns.
This combined with his incredible 8 out of 11 games with at least 250 yards since returning from injury means his 243.5 passing yards prop at -114 odds is certainly a value bettors can get excited about.
Dak Prescott over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-109)
Jeremias began writing 4 years ago after beginning his career at Florida State University. He mainly focuses on using analytics and statistics to educate readers on trends and discoveries to get a leg up on sportsbooks. He mainly focuses on NFL, NHL, and NBA. During his free time, you can find him researching, writing, and betting on various sports.